Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lanciano vs Ternana

Italy Italy

Serie B 2015/2016 Stadio Guido Biondi, Lanciano
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Marilungo G.
Assist: Giandonato M.
46'
Sub
Santacroce F. In: Janse J.
Out: Santacroce F.
46'
Sub
Palumbo A. In: Avenatti F.
Out: Palumbo A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Lanciano
20%
Draws
80%
Ternana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ternana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ternana lately — more wins on the board than Lanciano.
  • Model gives Ternana a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Lanciano Clean Sheet 10%
Ternana Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lanciano Ternana
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2016 Serie B
Lanciano vs Ternana
1:1
Dec 23, 2015 Serie B
Ternana vs Lanciano
1:1
May 2, 2015 Serie B
Lanciano vs Ternana
1:1
Dec 13, 2014 Serie B
Ternana vs Lanciano
0:1
Mar 22, 2014 Serie B
Ternana vs Lanciano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lanciano Compare

Top Goalscorer Marilungo G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Ternana Compare

Top Goalscorer Valjent M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lanciano 10 / 100
Ternana 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lanciano Ternana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ternana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lanciano scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Ternana let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Ternana registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lanciano VS Ternana
0.67 Goals Scored 1.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.38
67% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lanciano

(Home)
08 Aug
Sambenedettese
4 : 0
Lanciano
02 Aug
Pescara
4 : 2
Lanciano
28 Jul
Lanciano
0 : 1
Bari
08 Jun
Salernitana
1 : 0
Lanciano
04 Jun
Lanciano
1 : 4
Salernitana
Page 1 of 6

Ternana

(Away)
03 May
Pianese
1 : 1
Ternana
26 Apr
Ternana
1 : 3
Pianese
18 Apr
Bra
1 : 2
Ternana
12 Apr
Ternana
2 : 2
Perugia
08 Apr
Juventus U23
2 : 1
Ternana
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cagliari 42 25 8 9 78:41 83
2 Crotone 42 23 13 6 61:36 82
3 Trapani 42 20 13 9 64:49 73
4 Pescara 42 21 9 12 69:52 72
5 Bari 42 19 11 12 58:48 68
6 Cesena 42 19 11 12 57:37 68
7 Spezia 42 17 15 10 47:45 66
8 Novara 42 19 10 13 57:35 65
9 Entella 42 17 13 12 51:40 64
10 Perugia 42 14 13 15 40:40 55
11 Brescia 42 14 12 16 55:64 54
12 Ternana 42 15 8 19 50:56 53
13 Vicenza 42 11 16 15 41:53 49
14 Avellino 42 13 10 19 52:66 49
15 Ascoli 42 13 8 21 45:64 47
16 Latina 42 10 16 16 44:51 46
17 Pro Vercelli 42 11 13 18 43:53 46
18 Salernitana 42 9 18 15 48:62 45
19 Lanciano 42 12 12 18 43:56 44
20 Livorno 42 10 12 20 45:57 42
21 Modena 42 11 9 22 37:55 42
22 Como 42 5 18 19 39:64 33
Relegation - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Out)
Promotion - Serie A 2016/2017 (Main)
Promotion - Serie A 2016/2017 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2015/2016 (Play Offs)