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Lancy vs Stade Payerne

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lancy play Stade Payerne in the 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lancy averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. Stade Payerne averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.74 conceded. In past meetings, Lancy won 2, Stade Payerne won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 28, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Lancy and 1.50 for Stade Payerne. This points to a Lancy double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Lancy
27%
Draws
35%
Stade Payerne
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Lancy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Lancy picked up more points recently compared to Stade Payerne.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Lancy Clean Sheet 16%
Stade Payerne Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lancy Stade Payerne
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 1
Lancy vs Stade Payerne
2:2
Sep 13, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 1
Stade Payerne vs Lancy
0:0
Mar 23, 2025 1.Liga Classic Group 1
Stade Payerne vs Lancy
1:3
Mar 15, 2025 1.Liga Classic Cup
Lancy vs Stade Payerne
0:3
Sep 7, 2024 1.Liga Classic Group 1
Lancy vs Stade Payerne
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lancy 37 / 100
Stade Payerne 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lancy Stade Payerne

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lancy or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lancy attacking → ← attacking Stade Payerne

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lancy scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Stade Payerne let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Lancy went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Stade Payerne lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 33
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Servette U2130194782:3361
2Amical Saint-Prex30183962:4457
3Chenois301411556:4153
4Monthey30148864:4950
5Prishtina Bern301551057:4650
6Portalban301110940:4343
7Lancy301251350:5341
8Echallens301241452:6140
9Oberwallis Naters301081257:6138
10Stade Payerne301081241:4838
11Meyrin301141546:5237
12Coffrane30981346:5935
13Sion II30971444:4934
14La Chaux-De-Fonds30941743:6131
15Martigny-Sports30791443:5930
16La Sarraz-Eclepens30781544:6829