Sport Picks
Match Events
23'
23'
Gonzalez B.
43'
43'
Gonzalez B.
45'
45'
Secades M.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 2 game between Langreo and Covadonga finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Covadonga
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Covadonga carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Langreo's way, sitting at 42%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Langreo Clean Sheet 10%
Covadonga Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Langreo | Covadonga |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 36 |
| Wins | 14 | 22 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 2.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Langreo vs Covadonga
2:2
Mar 9, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Langreo vs Covadonga
0:5
Oct 29, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Covadonga vs Langreo
1:1
Aug 28, 2021 Club Friendly
Covadonga vs Langreo
0:3
Feb 14, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Covadonga vs Langreo
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Langreo Compare
Top Goalscorer Gonzalez B.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Covadonga Compare
Top Goalscorer Secades M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Montes Doamo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Langreo 40 / 100
Covadonga 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Langreo Covadonga
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Langreo scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Langreo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Covadonga let in goals in 50% of their last 36 matches.
Scoring Trends
Langreo VS Covadonga
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Langreo
(Home) 20 Sept
L Entregu CF
1 : 3 Langreo
13 Sept
Langreo
2 : 2 Covadonga
06 Sept
Union Club Ceares
2 : 1 Langreo
11 Aug
Marino De Luanco
6 : 1 Langreo
08 Aug
Llanes
2 : 3 Langreo
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Langreo
2 : 2 Covadonga
26 Apr
Langreo
1 : 1 Numancia
12 Apr
Langreo
4 : 1 UD Samano
28 Mar
Langreo
1 : 0 Salamanca CF UDS
15 Mar
Langreo
1 : 0 UD Ourense
Page 1 of 3
Covadonga
(Away) 20 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0 Caudal Deportivo
13 Sept
Langreo
2 : 2 Covadonga
06 Sept
Covadonga
4 : 0 Aviles Stadium
29 Aug
Gijon Industrial
0 : 0 Covadonga
05 Aug
Real Oviedo B
6 : 0 Covadonga
Page 1 of 8
13 Sept
Langreo
2 : 2 Covadonga
29 Aug
Gijon Industrial
0 : 0 Covadonga
05 Aug
Real Oviedo B
6 : 0 Covadonga
31 May
Caudal Deportivo
2 : 1 Covadonga
17 May
CD Mosconia
0 : 0 Covadonga
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gijon B | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 2 | CD Colunga | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Covadonga | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10:2 | 7 |
| 4 | CD Mosconia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 5 | Condal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:0 | 7 |
| 6 | Club Siero | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 7 | Caudal Deportivo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 6 |
| 8 | Langreo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 4 |
| 9 | Gijon Industrial | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 10 | Union Club Ceares | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 11 | Praviano | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 12 | Lealtad | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 13 | L Entregu CF | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 14 | Aviles Stadium | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 3 |
| 15 | Andes CF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 1 |
| 16 | Llanes | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:10 | 1 |
| 17 | EI San Martin | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:7 | 1 |
| 18 | Astur | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | 0 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 (Play Offs)
