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Langreo vs Numancia

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Neira S.
63' Event
Gonzalez J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Langreo
20%
Draws
40%
Numancia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Langreo have won more games recently than Numancia.
  • Win probability leans Numancia's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Langreo Clean Sheet 19%
Numancia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Langreo Numancia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 12
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Langreo vs Numancia
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Numancia vs Langreo
3:1
Feb 23, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Langreo vs Numancia
0:0
Oct 13, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Numancia vs Langreo
1:1
Mar 13, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Langreo vs Numancia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Langreo Compare

Top Goalscorer Neira S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Numancia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Langreo 28 / 100
Numancia 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Langreo Numancia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NUM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Langreo's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Numancia let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Langreo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Langreo VS Numancia
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Langreo

(Home)
08 Aug
Llanes
2 : 3
Langreo
05 Aug
L Entregu CF
0 : 1
Langreo
03 May
Real Oviedo B
3 : 2
Langreo
26 Apr
Langreo
1 : 1
Numancia
19 Apr
Valladolid Promesas
3 : 0
Langreo
Page 1 of 6

Numancia

(Away)
17 May
UD Poblense
2 : 1
Numancia
10 May
Numancia
0 : 1
UD Poblense
03 May
Numancia
1 : 0
Marino De Luanco
26 Apr
Langreo
1 : 1
Numancia
19 Apr
UD Samano
0 : 3
Numancia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Fabril 34 20 9 5 59:22 69
2 Real Oviedo B 34 16 10 8 50:35 58
3 Numancia 34 15 11 8 46:31 56
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 40:34 55
5 Coruxo FC 34 15 7 12 46:37 52
6 Gimnastica Segoviana 34 14 9 11 37:36 51
7 Real Avila 34 14 8 12 48:52 50
8 Salamanca CF UDS 34 14 8 12 43:36 50
9 Rayo Cantabria 34 11 15 8 63:50 48
10 Bergantinos 34 13 9 12 44:37 48
11 Atletico Astorga 34 12 9 13 41:43 45
12 Marino De Luanco 34 11 12 11 31:26 45
13 Valladolid Promesas 34 12 9 13 59:58 45
14 Langreo 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
15 Sarriana 34 11 7 16 42:42 40
16 Burgos CF B 34 8 12 14 38:55 36
17 Lealtad 34 7 7 20 31:54 28
18 UD Samano 34 3 6 25 23:87 15
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)