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Langwarrin vs North Geelong Warriors

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Eshun K.
80' Event
Fatemi S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Victoria Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Langwarrin
20%
Draws
29%
North Geelong Warriors
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Langwarrin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • North Geelong Warriors have won more games recently than Langwarrin.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Langwarrin taking it.
  • Regular Victoria Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Langwarrin Clean Sheet 15%
North Geelong Warriors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Langwarrin North Geelong Warriors
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.7 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Victoria Premier League
Langwarrin vs North Geelong Warriors
1:1
May 16, 2026 Victoria Premier League
North Geelong Warriors vs Langwarrin
2:4
Jun 1, 2024 Victoria Premier League
North Geelong Warriors vs Langwarrin
1:0
Feb 24, 2024 Victoria Premier League
Langwarrin vs North Geelong Warriors
2:1
Jun 18, 2022 Victoria Premier League
North Geelong Warriors vs Langwarrin
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Langwarrin Compare

Top Goalscorer Fatemi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

North Geelong Warriors Compare

Top Goalscorer Eshun K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Langwarrin 84 / 100
North Geelong Warriors 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Langwarrin North Geelong Warriors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Langwarrin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Langwarrin scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

North Geelong Warriors let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Langwarrin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Langwarrin VS North Geelong Warriors
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Langwarrin

(Home)
30 Aug
Langwarrin
1 : 1
North Geelong Warriors
23 Aug
Melbourne Knights
0 : 2
Langwarrin
16 Aug
Western United U21
0 : 3
Langwarrin
01 Aug
Langwarrin
3 : 4
Brunswick City
27 Jul
Bulleen
3 : 1
Langwarrin
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North Geelong Warriors

(Away)
30 Aug
Langwarrin
1 : 1
North Geelong Warriors
22 Aug
North Geelong Warriors
3 : 0
Western United U21
15 Aug
Brunswick City
4 : 0
North Geelong Warriors
08 Aug
Melbourne Srbija
1 : 0
North Geelong Warriors
01 Aug
North Geelong Warriors
0 : 4
Bulleen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Melbourne Knights 24 15 4 5 43:19 49
2 Brunswick Juventus 24 15 2 7 42:26 47
3 Melbourne Victory U21 24 13 4 7 55:32 43
4 Northcote City 24 13 4 7 38:27 43
5 Bulleen 24 12 6 6 44:30 42
6 Eltham Redbacks 24 10 6 8 53:37 36
7 Melbourne Srbija 24 11 3 10 27:25 36
8 Manningham United Blues 24 9 3 12 32:48 30
9 North Geelong Warriors 24 9 2 13 32:49 29
10 Brunswick City 24 8 3 13 40:49 27
11 Langwarrin 24 6 6 12 40:52 24
12 North Sunshine Eagles 24 5 5 14 29:38 20
13 Port Melbourne Sharks 24 4 4 16 12:55 16
14 Western United U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Main)
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