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Lanus 2 vs Defensa y Justicia 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Aguirre G.
35' Event
Lopez T.
38' Event
Rodriguez M.

AI Match Summary

Lanus 2 in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lanus 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Lanus 2
30%
Draws
23%
Defensa y Justicia 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lanus 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Lanus 2 have won more games recently than Defensa y Justicia 2.
  • Win probability leans Lanus 2's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Reserve League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lanus 2 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Lanus 2 Clean Sheet 14%
Defensa y Justicia 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lanus 2 Defensa y Justicia 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 10
Draws 3 11
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 2.07 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Reserve League
Lanus 2 vs Defensa y Justicia 2
3:1
Mar 2, 2026 Reserve League
Defensa y Justicia 2 vs Lanus 2
1:2
Aug 7, 2024 Reserve League
Lanus 2 vs Defensa y Justicia 2
3:1
Feb 29, 2024 Reserve League
Defensa y Justicia 2 vs Lanus 2
4:0
Sep 28, 2023 Reserve League
Defensa y Justicia 2 vs Lanus 2
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lanus 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguirre G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Defensa y Justicia 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lanus 2 66 / 100
Defensa y Justicia 2 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lanus 2 Defensa y Justicia 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lanus 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lanus 2 scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensa y Justicia 2 let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Lanus 2 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lanus 2 VS Defensa y Justicia 2
2.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lanus 2

(Home)
08 Oct
Lanus 2
3 : 0
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
01 Oct
San Martin S.J. 2
0 : 2
Lanus 2
23 Sept
Lanus 2
2 : 1
Banfield 2
16 Sept
Lanus 2
3 : 3
Ind. Rivadavia 2
10 Sept
Deportivo Riestra 2
4 : 1
Lanus 2
Page 1 of 6

Defensa y Justicia 2

(Away)
06 Oct
Defensa y Justicia 2
1 : 1
Quilmes 2
29 Sept
Estudiantes L.P. 2
2 : 0
Defensa y Justicia 2
23 Sept
Defensa y Justicia 2
2 : 1
Tigre 2
15 Sept
Defensa y Justicia 2
2 : 3
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
09 Sept
San Martin S.J. 2
1 : 1
Defensa y Justicia 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 2 12 5 7 0 20:10 22
2 Velez Sarsfield 2 12 5 5 2 12:4 20
3 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 12 6 2 4 14:12 20
4 Rosario Central 2 12 5 5 2 17:16 20
5 Gimnasia L.P. 2 12 4 5 3 13:8 17
6 Sarmiento Junin 2 12 4 5 3 11:8 17
7 Godoy Cruz 2 12 4 5 3 14:12 17
8 San Lorenzo 2 12 5 2 5 13:11 17
9 Talleres Cordoba 2 12 4 5 3 12:11 17
10 Union de Santa Fe 2 12 3 7 2 17:10 16
11 Instituto 2 12 3 6 3 15:16 15
12 Atl. Tucuman 2 12 4 3 5 9:13 15
13 Tigre 2 12 4 2 6 15:20 14
14 Racing Club 2 12 2 7 3 19:20 13
15 Aldosivi 2 12 2 5 5 10:14 11
16 Argentinos Jrs 2 12 2 5 5 7:12 11
17 Banfield 2 12 2 3 7 10:22 9
18 Barracas Central 2 12 1 5 6 8:19 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente 2 12 8 3 1 25:9 27
2 Lanus 2 12 8 2 2 23:13 26
3 Deportivo Riestra 2 12 7 2 3 22:11 23
4 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 12 6 5 1 13:7 23
5 Boca Juniors 2 12 6 4 2 16:8 22
6 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 12 6 4 2 19:17 22
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 12 6 3 3 19:11 21
8 Atl. Rafaela 2 12 5 4 3 14:14 19
9 Huracan 2 12 5 2 5 14:10 17
10 Quilmes 2 12 4 4 4 10:10 16
11 Newells Old Boys 2 12 3 5 4 14:12 14
12 Defensa y Justicia 2 12 2 6 4 18:19 12
13 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 12 3 3 6 10:19 12
14 San Martin S.J. 2 12 2 4 6 9:21 10
15 Ind. Rivadavia 2 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
16 Colon Santa Fe 2 12 2 2 8 8:17 8
17 Platense 2 12 0 7 5 6:15 7
18 Ferro 2 12 1 3 8 9:24 6
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)