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Lanus vs Always Ready

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez, Lanús
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Canale J.
46'
Sub
Watson F. N. In: Valois Y.
Out: Watson F. N.
58'
Sub
Medina A. In: Moreno M.
Out: Medina A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Lanus
15%
Draws
32%
Always Ready
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lanus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Always Ready come out ahead of Lanus on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lanus's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Always Ready arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lanus, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Lanus Clean Sheet 68%
Always Ready Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lanus Always Ready
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.07 1.96
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Always Ready vs Lanus
4:0
Apr 16, 2026 Copa Libertadores
Lanus vs Always Ready
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lanus Compare

Top Goalscorer Valois Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Always Ready Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lanus 86 / 100
Always Ready 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lanus Always Ready

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lanus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 8:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lanus scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Always Ready conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Lanus has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lanus VS Always Ready
1.14 Goals Scored 2.13
0.86 Goals Conceded 1.13
57% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 50%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lanus

(Home)
22 Sept
Lanus
2 : 1
Estudiantes L.P.
14 Sept
Deportivo Riestra
0 : 3
Lanus
06 Sept
Lanus
1 : 0
Defensa y Justicia
29 Aug
Boca Juniors
1 : 0
Lanus
25 Aug
Lanus
1 : 1
Argentinos Jrs
Page 1 of 6

Always Ready

(Away)
25 Sept
Nacional Potosi
9 : 0
Always Ready
19 Sept
Always Ready
1 : 4
Academia del Balompie
16 Sept
Nacional Potosi
0 : 4
Always Ready
13 Sept
Always Ready
6 : 0
Guabira
10 Sept
Tomayapo
2 : 0
Always Ready
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ 6 5 1 0 14:2 16
2 Estudiantes L.P. 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
3 Ind. Medellin 6 2 1 3 6:11 7
4 Cusco 6 0 1 5 4:12 1
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
2 Deportes Tolima 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
3 Club Nacional 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
4 Universitario de Deportes 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ind. Rivadavia 6 5 1 0 15:6 16
2 Fluminense 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
3 Bolivar 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
4 Deportivo La Guaira 6 0 3 3 6:13 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. Catolica 6 4 1 1 8:4 13
2 Cruzeiro 6 3 2 1 8:3 11
3 Boca Juniors 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
4 Barcelona SC 6 1 0 5 2:12 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Platense 6 3 1 2 8:7 10
3 Santa Fe 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
4 Penarol 6 0 3 3 4:8 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cerro Porteno 6 4 1 1 6:2 13
2 Palmeiras 6 3 2 1 10:5 11
3 Sporting Cristal 6 2 0 4 6:9 6
4 Junior 6 1 1 4 5:11 4
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 LDU Quito 6 4 0 2 8:5 12
2 Mirassol 6 4 0 2 7:4 12
3 Lanus 6 3 0 3 3:7 9
4 Always Ready 6 1 0 5 7:9 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 Rosario Central 6 4 1 1 9:1 13
3 Universidad Central 6 3 0 3 7:11 9
4 Libertad Asuncion 6 0 0 6 4:13 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)