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Lanus vs Argentinos Jrs

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez, Lanús
Our Tip

Match Events

59'
Sub
Watson F. N. In: Valois Y.
Out: Watson F. N.
62'
Sub
Porcel D. In: Alcaraz A.
Out: Porcel D.
70'
Sub
Lopez H. In: Gimenez M.
Out: Lopez H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Lanus
35%
Draws
24%
Argentinos Jrs
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lanus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Lanus haven't matched Argentinos Jrs's recent run of results.
  • Lanus are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Argentinos Jrs have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Lanus Clean Sheet 68%
Argentinos Jrs Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lanus Argentinos Jrs
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.97 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Argentinos Jrs
1:1
May 10, 2026 Liga Profesional
Argentinos Jrs vs Lanus
2:0
Mar 27, 2026 Liga Profesional
Argentinos Jrs vs Lanus
2:1
Sep 9, 2025 Copa Argentina
Argentinos Jrs vs Lanus
1:0
Jul 30, 2024 Liga Profesional
Argentinos Jrs vs Lanus
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lanus Compare

Top Goalscorer Pena Biafore F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Argentinos Jrs Compare

Top Goalscorer Veron G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lanus 68 / 100
Argentinos Jrs 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lanus Argentinos Jrs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lanus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lanus's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Lanus has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Argentinos Jrs has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lanus VS Argentinos Jrs
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lanus

(Home)
22 Sept
Lanus
2 : 1
Estudiantes L.P.
14 Sept
Deportivo Riestra
0 : 3
Lanus
06 Sept
Lanus
1 : 0
Defensa y Justicia
29 Aug
Boca Juniors
1 : 0
Lanus
25 Aug
Lanus
1 : 1
Argentinos Jrs
Page 1 of 6

Argentinos Jrs

(Away)
20 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 0
Argentinos Jrs
13 Sept
Argentinos Jrs
1 : 1
Gimnasia L.P.
07 Sept
Barracas Central
0 : 0
Argentinos Jrs
30 Aug
Argentinos Jrs
2 : 1
Aldosivi
25 Aug
Lanus
1 : 1
Argentinos Jrs
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 10 7 1 2 13:7 22
2 Velez Sarsfield 10 5 5 0 15:9 20
3 Defensa y Justicia 10 5 3 2 13:11 18
4 Gimnasia Mendoza 10 5 2 3 14:9 17
5 Boca Juniors 10 4 5 1 14:11 17
6 Independiente 10 5 2 3 10:8 17
7 Lanus 10 5 1 4 13:9 16
8 Newells Old Boys 10 4 4 2 11:8 16
9 Union de Santa Fe 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
10 San Lorenzo 10 3 2 5 4:8 11
11 Estudiantes L.P. 10 3 1 6 10:11 10
12 Deportivo Riestra 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
13 Platense 10 2 3 5 9:15 9
14 Talleres Cordoba 10 2 2 6 11:17 8
15 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 10 2 2 6 7:13 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 10 5 3 2 13:9 18
2 Rosario Central 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Ind. Rivadavia 10 5 2 3 14:13 17
4 Gimnasia L.P. 10 5 2 3 15:15 17
5 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 10 4 4 2 11:7 16
6 Huracan 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Sarmiento Junin 10 5 1 4 17:16 16
8 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
9 Atl. Tucuman 10 3 4 3 7:6 13
10 Tigre 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
11 Barracas Central 10 3 3 4 5:7 12
12 Banfield 10 2 3 5 11:16 9
13 Aldosivi 10 2 2 6 12:16 8
14 Racing Club 10 2 2 6 11:16 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 10 1 3 6 5:13 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)