Sport Picks
Lanus vs Boca Juniors
Argentina
Liga Profesional Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez, Lanús 
Match Events
15'
15'
Ascacibar S.
17'
17'
Di Lollo L.
17'
17'
Canale J.
AI Match Summary
Boca Juniors in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Boca Juniors.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Boca Juniors
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Medium Confidence
- Boca Juniors have won more games recently than Lanus.
- Model gives Lanus a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Lanus Clean Sheet 20%
Boca Juniors Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lanus | Boca Juniors |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 5, 2026 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Boca Juniors
0:3
May 11, 2025 Liga Profesional
Boca Juniors vs Lanus
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Boca Juniors
1:0
Feb 19, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Boca Juniors
2:1
Sep 23, 2023 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Boca Juniors vs Lanus
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lanus Compare
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Boca Juniors Compare
Top Goalscorer Merentiel M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Ascacibar S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lanus 36 / 100
Boca Juniors 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lanus Boca Juniors
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lanus found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Boca Juniors's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.
Solid form: Lanus remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Lanus VS Boca Juniors
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Lanus
(Home) 06 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
2 : 1 Lanus
03 Aug
Lanus
0 : 1 Instituto
30 Jul
Cienciano
4 : 0 Lanus
26 Jul
Lanus
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
23 Jul
Lanus
2 : 0 Cienciano
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03 Aug
Lanus
0 : 1 Instituto
26 Jul
Lanus
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
23 Jul
Lanus
2 : 0 Cienciano
26 May
Lanus
1 : 0 Mirassol
02 May
Lanus
0 : 0 Deportivo Riestra
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Boca Juniors
(Away) 05 Aug
Boca Juniors
1 : 0 Estudiantes L.P.
02 Aug
Newells Old Boys
2 : 2 Boca Juniors
31 Jul
O Higgins
1 : 1 Boca Juniors
26 Jul
Deportivo Riestra
3 : 0 Boca Juniors
24 Jul
Boca Juniors
1 : 0 O Higgins
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02 Aug
Newells Old Boys
2 : 2 Boca Juniors
31 Jul
O Higgins
1 : 1 Boca Juniors
26 Jul
Deportivo Riestra
3 : 0 Boca Juniors
17 Jul
Sarmiento Junin
0 : 2 Boca Juniors
06 May
Barcelona SC
1 : 0 Boca Juniors
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | 11 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 5 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)
