Sport Picks
Lanus vs Defensa y Justicia
Argentina
Liga Profesional Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez, Lanús 
Match Events
33'
33'
Gutierrez J.
51'
51'
Besozzi L.
59'
59'
Sub
Besozzi L. In: Sepulveda M.
Out: Besozzi L.
AI Match Summary
Lanus in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lanus.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Lanus have won more games recently than Defensa y Justicia.
- Win probability leans Lanus's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Lanus Clean Sheet 18%
Defensa y Justicia Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lanus | Defensa y Justicia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Defensa y Justicia
1:0
Mar 2, 2026 Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia vs Lanus
1:1
Nov 25, 2024 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Defensa y Justicia
0:0
Mar 3, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia vs Lanus
0:4
Oct 7, 2023 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Defensa y Justicia
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lanus Compare
Top Goalscorer Izquierdoz C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Defensa y Justicia Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lanus 36 / 100
Defensa y Justicia 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lanus Defensa y Justicia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lanus scored in 64% of their last 33 games.
Defensa y Justicia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Lanus went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lanus VS Defensa y Justicia
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Lanus
(Home) 22 Sept
Lanus
2 : 1 Estudiantes L.P.
14 Sept
Deportivo Riestra
0 : 3 Lanus
06 Sept
Lanus
1 : 0 Defensa y Justicia
29 Aug
Boca Juniors
1 : 0 Lanus
25 Aug
Lanus
1 : 1 Argentinos Jrs
Page 1 of 7
22 Sept
Lanus
2 : 1 Estudiantes L.P.
06 Sept
Lanus
1 : 0 Defensa y Justicia
25 Aug
Lanus
1 : 1 Argentinos Jrs
17 Aug
Lanus
1 : 3 Independiente
03 Aug
Lanus
0 : 1 Instituto
Page 1 of 4
Defensa y Justicia
(Away) 18 Sept
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
2 : 2 Defensa y Justicia
11 Sept
Defensa y Justicia
2 : 0 Gimnasia Mendoza
06 Sept
Lanus
1 : 0 Defensa y Justicia
31 Aug
Defensa y Justicia
1 : 0 Platense
23 Aug
CA Belgrano de Cordoba
1 : 2 Defensa y Justicia
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
2 : 2 Defensa y Justicia
06 Sept
Lanus
1 : 0 Defensa y Justicia
23 Aug
CA Belgrano de Cordoba
1 : 2 Defensa y Justicia
17 Aug
Velez Sarsfield
1 : 1 Defensa y Justicia
01 Aug
Estudiantes L.P.
3 : 0 Defensa y Justicia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 13:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 15:9 | 20 |
| 3 | Defensa y Justicia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 18 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 17 |
| 5 | Boca Juniors | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 6 | Independiente | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Lanus | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13:9 | 16 |
| 8 | Newells Old Boys | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11:8 | 16 |
| 9 | Union de Santa Fe | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4:8 | 11 |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10:11 | 10 |
| 12 | Deportivo Riestra | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 13 | Platense | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | 9 |
| 14 | Talleres Cordoba | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7:13 | 8 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 18 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 18 |
| 3 | Ind. Rivadavia | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 4 | Gimnasia L.P. | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 17 |
| 5 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 6 | Huracan | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10:8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17:16 | 16 |
| 8 | River Plate | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Atl. Tucuman | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7:6 | 13 |
| 10 | Tigre | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:9 | 12 |
| 11 | Barracas Central | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5:7 | 12 |
| 12 | Banfield | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:16 | 9 |
| 13 | Aldosivi | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | 8 |
| 14 | Racing Club | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5:13 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
