Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lanus vs Estudiantes L.P.

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez, Lanús
Tue, Sep 22, 2026
VS
12:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lanus host Estudiantes L.P. in the Liga Profesional. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Lanus have averaged 0.94 scored and 1.06 conceded recently, against Estudiantes L.P.'s 1.19 scored and 0.65 conceded. Head-to-head, Lanus have won 3 to Estudiantes L.P.'s 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 13, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.08 xG vs 1.04) point toward Estudiantes L.P.. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lanus
30%
Draws
37%
Estudiantes L.P.
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Estudiantes L.P.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Estudiantes L.P. come out ahead of Lanus on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lanus a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Lanus Clean Sheet 20%
Estudiantes L.P. Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lanus Estudiantes L.P.
Matches Played 34 37
Wins 13 17
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.94 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.06 0.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.08 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Liga Profesional
Estudiantes L.P. vs Lanus
0:1
May 25, 2024 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Estudiantes L.P.
2:1
Apr 16, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Estudiantes L.P.
1:2
Nov 27, 2023 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Estudiantes L.P. vs Lanus
1:1
Feb 13, 2023 Liga Profesional
Estudiantes L.P. vs Lanus
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lanus 36 / 100
Estudiantes L.P. 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lanus Estudiantes L.P.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lanus's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Lanus has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Estudiantes L.P. conceded in 57% of 37 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Lanus VS Estudiantes L.P.
1.29 Goals Scored 1.38
0.71 Goals Conceded 0.88
57% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lanus

(Home)
14 Sept
Deportivo Riestra
0 : 3
Lanus
06 Sept
Lanus
1 : 0
Defensa y Justicia
29 Aug
Boca Juniors
1 : 0
Lanus
25 Aug
Lanus
1 : 1
Argentinos Jrs
17 Aug
Lanus
1 : 3
Independiente
Page 1 of 7

Estudiantes L.P.

(Away)
17 Sept
Corinthians
0 : 1
Estudiantes L.P.
12 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
2 : 1
Platense
10 Sept
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 1
Corinthians
06 Sept
Velez Sarsfield
1 : 0
Estudiantes L.P.
31 Aug
Estudiantes L.P.
0 : 0
Newells Old Boys
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 10 7 1 2 13:7 22
2 Defensa y Justicia 10 5 3 2 13:11 18
3 Gimnasia Mendoza 10 5 2 3 14:9 17
4 Velez Sarsfield 9 4 5 0 12:7 17
5 Independiente 10 5 2 3 10:8 17
6 Boca Juniors 9 3 5 1 12:11 14
7 Lanus 9 4 1 4 11:8 13
8 Newells Old Boys 9 3 4 2 10:8 13
9 Union de Santa Fe 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
10 San Lorenzo 9 3 2 4 4:6 11
11 Estudiantes L.P. 9 3 1 5 9:9 10
12 Deportivo Riestra 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
13 Platense 9 2 3 4 9:14 9
14 Talleres Cordoba 10 2 2 6 11:17 8
15 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 10 2 2 6 7:13 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 9 5 3 1 13:8 18
2 Gimnasia L.P. 10 5 2 3 15:15 17
3 Huracan 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
4 Sarmiento Junin 10 5 1 4 17:16 16
5 Rosario Central 9 4 3 2 10:8 15
6 Ind. Rivadavia 9 4 2 3 13:13 14
7 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 9 3 4 2 9:6 13
8 Atl. Tucuman 9 3 4 2 7:5 13
9 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
10 Tigre 9 3 3 3 7:6 12
11 Barracas Central 9 3 3 3 5:6 12
12 Banfield 10 2 3 5 11:16 9
13 Racing Club 10 2 2 6 11:16 8
14 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 9 1 3 5 4:11 6
15 Aldosivi 9 1 2 6 11:16 5
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)