Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Galvan J.
28'
28'
Sepulveda M.
42'
42'
Cerato G.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Profesional game between Lanus and Instituto finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Instituto.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Instituto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Instituto carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Lanus Clean Sheet 20%
Instituto Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lanus | Instituto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 3, 2026 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Instituto
0:1
May 30, 2026 Copa Argentina
Instituto vs Lanus
2:1
Feb 4, 2026 Liga Profesional
Instituto vs Lanus
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 Liga Profesional
Instituto vs Lanus
0:0
Mar 17, 2025 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Instituto
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lanus Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Instituto Compare
Top Goalscorer Alarcon F. R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lanus 32 / 100
Instituto 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lanus Instituto
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Lanus scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Instituto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Solid form: Lanus remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Lanus VS Instituto
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lanus
(Home) 03 Oct
Newells Old Boys
0 : 0 Lanus
22 Sept
Lanus
2 : 1 Estudiantes L.P.
14 Sept
Deportivo Riestra
0 : 3 Lanus
06 Sept
Lanus
1 : 0 Defensa y Justicia
29 Aug
Boca Juniors
1 : 0 Lanus
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Lanus
2 : 1 Estudiantes L.P.
06 Sept
Lanus
1 : 0 Defensa y Justicia
25 Aug
Lanus
1 : 1 Argentinos Jrs
17 Aug
Lanus
1 : 3 Independiente
03 Aug
Lanus
0 : 1 Instituto
Page 1 of 3
Instituto
(Away) 02 Oct
Independiente
1 : 4 Instituto
20 Sept
Instituto
3 : 1 Talleres Cordoba
15 Sept
Instituto
2 : 1 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
08 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
3 : 2 Instituto
01 Sept
Instituto
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Independiente
1 : 4 Instituto
08 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
3 : 2 Instituto
28 Aug
Platense
2 : 1 Instituto
22 Aug
Atl. Tucuman
0 : 0 Instituto
16 Aug
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
0 : 1 Instituto
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 25 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 17:11 | 21 |
| 3 | Defensa y Justicia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 17:11 | 20 |
| 5 | Lanus | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 17 |
| 8 | Independiente | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | 17 |
| 9 | Estudiantes L.P. | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 10 | Union de Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17:19 | 13 |
| 11 | Deportivo Riestra | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4:11 | 11 |
| 13 | Platense | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8:14 | 9 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:18 | 8 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15:10 | 21 |
| 2 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Huracan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11:8 | 19 |
| 5 | Ind. Rivadavia | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17:16 | 16 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8:9 | 15 |
| 9 | River Plate | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 10 | Atl. Tucuman | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 11 | Tigre | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 13 | Banfield | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6:15 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
