Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Galvan J.
28'
28'
Sepulveda M.
42'
42'
Cerato G.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Profesional game between Lanus and Instituto finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Instituto.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Instituto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Instituto's 1.04 goals per match outpaces what Lanus have produced (0.93).
- Model gives Instituto a 57% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Lanus Clean Sheet 21%
Instituto Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lanus | Instituto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.51 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 3, 2026 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Instituto
0:1
May 30, 2026 Copa Argentina
Instituto vs Lanus
2:1
Feb 4, 2026 Liga Profesional
Instituto vs Lanus
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 Liga Profesional
Instituto vs Lanus
0:0
Mar 17, 2025 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Instituto
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lanus Compare
Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26
Instituto Compare
Top Goalscorer Alarcon F. R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lanus 20 / 100
Instituto 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lanus Instituto
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Instituto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Lanus scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Instituto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Solid form: Lanus remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Lanus VS Instituto
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Lanus
(Home) 12 Aug
Talleres Cordoba
0 : 3 Lanus
06 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
2 : 1 Lanus
03 Aug
Lanus
0 : 1 Instituto
30 Jul
Cienciano
4 : 0 Lanus
26 Jul
Lanus
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6
03 Aug
Lanus
0 : 1 Instituto
26 Jul
Lanus
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
23 Jul
Lanus
2 : 0 Cienciano
26 May
Lanus
1 : 0 Mirassol
02 May
Lanus
0 : 0 Deportivo Riestra
Page 1 of 3
Instituto
(Away) 09 Aug
Instituto
1 : 0 Gimnasia Mendoza
03 Aug
Lanus
0 : 1 Instituto
30 Jul
Instituto
2 : 1 Platense
24 Jul
Velez Sarsfield
1 : 0 Instituto
30 May
Instituto
2 : 1 Lanus
Page 1 of 6
03 Aug
Lanus
0 : 1 Instituto
24 Jul
Velez Sarsfield
1 : 0 Instituto
05 May
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 2 Instituto
26 Apr
Newells Old Boys
1 : 1 Instituto
11 Apr
Deportivo Riestra
0 : 1 Instituto
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Instituto | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Newells Old Boys | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Estudiantes L.P. | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 6 | Lanus | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 7 | Deportivo Riestra | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 8 | Independiente | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 9 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 10 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 6 |
| 11 | Boca Juniors | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | 6 |
| 13 | Platense | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 14 | Union de Santa Fe | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 2 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 9 |
| 4 | Gimnasia L.P. | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 9 |
| 5 | Tigre | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:2 | 8 |
| 6 | Huracan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Ind. Rivadavia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 9 | Banfield | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 10 | Sarmiento Junin | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 11 | Atl. Tucuman | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 13 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 15 | River Plate | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:4 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
