Sport Picks
Lanus vs Newells Old Boys
Argentina
Liga Profesional Estadio Ciudad de Lanús – Néstor Díaz Pérez, Lanús 
Match Events
16'
16'
Bou W.
(Penalty)
18'
18'
Sub
Pena Biafore F. In: Medina A.
Out: Pena Biafore F.
35'
35'
Carrera R.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Profesional game between Lanus and Newells Old Boys finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lanus.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
35%
31%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Lanus carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Lanus's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Lanus Clean Sheet 68%
Newells Old Boys Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lanus | Newells Old Boys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 17, 2026 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Newells Old Boys
5:0
Oct 5, 2024 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Lanus
2:1
Jan 31, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Newells Old Boys
0:2
Aug 26, 2023 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Lanus
1:0
May 21, 2023 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Newells Old Boys
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lanus Compare
Top Goalscorer Aquino D.
3 Goals Assists Leader Salvio E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Newells Old Boys Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lanus 50 / 100
Newells Old Boys 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lanus Newells Old Boys
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lanus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Lanus scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.
Newells Old Boys has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Lanus stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lanus VS Newells Old Boys
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Lanus
(Home) 22 Sept
Lanus
2 : 1 Estudiantes L.P.
14 Sept
Deportivo Riestra
0 : 3 Lanus
06 Sept
Lanus
1 : 0 Defensa y Justicia
29 Aug
Boca Juniors
1 : 0 Lanus
25 Aug
Lanus
1 : 1 Argentinos Jrs
Page 1 of 7
22 Sept
Lanus
2 : 1 Estudiantes L.P.
06 Sept
Lanus
1 : 0 Defensa y Justicia
25 Aug
Lanus
1 : 1 Argentinos Jrs
17 Aug
Lanus
1 : 3 Independiente
03 Aug
Lanus
0 : 1 Instituto
Page 1 of 3
Newells Old Boys
(Away) 20 Sept
Platense
0 : 1 Newells Old Boys
11 Sept
Newells Old Boys
1 : 1 Velez Sarsfield
06 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 1 Newells Old Boys
31 Aug
Estudiantes L.P.
0 : 0 Newells Old Boys
23 Aug
Newells Old Boys
2 : 1 Banfield
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Platense
0 : 1 Newells Old Boys
06 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 1 Newells Old Boys
31 Aug
Estudiantes L.P.
0 : 0 Newells Old Boys
09 Aug
Defensa y Justicia
2 : 1 Newells Old Boys
31 Jul
Independiente
1 : 0 Newells Old Boys
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | 15 |
| 15 | Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | 11 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 28 |
| 5 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)
