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Lanzarote vs Los Llanos

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Hujo I.
40' Event
Machin A.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Mengoud N.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 game between Lanzarote and Los Llanos finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lanzarote.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Lanzarote
35%
Draws
32%
Los Llanos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lanzarote come out ahead of Los Llanos on wins alone.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lanzarote here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Lanzarote Clean Sheet 20%
Los Llanos Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lanzarote Los Llanos
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 9 6
Draws 13 6
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.25 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs Los Llanos
3:0
Oct 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Los Llanos vs Lanzarote
0:1
Mar 17, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs Los Llanos
4:2
Oct 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Los Llanos vs Lanzarote
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lanzarote Compare

Top Goalscorer Hujo I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mengoud N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Los Llanos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lanzarote 31 / 100
Los Llanos 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lanzarote Los Llanos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lanzarote Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Lanzarote scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Defensive concern: Los Llanos conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Lanzarote went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lanzarote VS Los Llanos
1 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lanzarote

(Home)
19 Sept
Villaverde Norte
1 : 1
Lanzarote
13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1
San Miguel
06 Aug
Lanzarote
1 : 2
Arenas Getxo
10 May
Lanzarote
0 : 0
Real Union Tenerife
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1
Lanzarote
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Los Llanos

(Away)
26 Sept
UD Playas de Sotavento
2 : 2
Los Llanos
19 Sept
Los Llanos
2 : 1
CD Laguna
12 Sept
Real Union Tenerife
1 : 0
Los Llanos
11 May
Los Llanos
1 : 2
Panaderia
04 May
Tamaraceite
2 : 1
Los Llanos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Palmas B 34 22 10 2 66:17 76
2 UD San Fernando 34 21 10 3 58:20 73
3 Tamaraceite 34 18 9 7 48:29 63
4 Ibarra 34 18 5 11 49:40 59
5 Mensajero 34 16 8 10 50:37 56
6 Lanzarote 34 16 7 11 56:33 55
7 Panaderia 34 13 11 10 45:39 50
8 CD Marino 34 12 11 11 43:45 47
9 Arucas 34 12 9 13 38:36 45
10 San Bartolome 34 10 15 9 43:35 45
11 Villa Santa Brigida 34 10 11 13 34:42 41
12 Herbania 34 10 10 14 33:41 40
13 CD Santa Ursula 34 10 10 14 29:42 40
14 San Miguel 34 10 7 17 36:54 37
15 CD Buzanada 34 9 5 20 27:54 32
16 Estrella 34 7 9 18 30:57 30
17 Los Llanos 34 7 7 20 25:52 28
18 Union Viera 34 3 10 21 28:65 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 (Play Offs)