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Stadium Background

Lanzarote vs San Bartolome

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Ndiaye M.
61' Event
Ndiaye M.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Sanchez Rodriguez T.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 game between Lanzarote and San Bartolome finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lanzarote.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Lanzarote
35%
Draws
45%
San Bartolome
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: San Bartolome

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Lanzarote haven't matched San Bartolome's recent run of results.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Lanzarote Clean Sheet 20%
San Bartolome Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lanzarote San Bartolome
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 12 12
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.07 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolome vs Lanzarote
1:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs San Bartolome
3:0
Feb 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolome vs Lanzarote
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs San Bartolome
0:0
Feb 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
San Bartolome vs Lanzarote
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lanzarote Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndiaye M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez Rodriguez T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

San Bartolome Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lanzarote 36 / 100
San Bartolome 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lanzarote San Bartolome

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Bartolome Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lanzarote's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

San Bartolome has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Lanzarote went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lanzarote VS San Bartolome
1 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lanzarote

(Home)
13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1
San Miguel
06 Aug
Lanzarote
1 : 2
Arenas Getxo
10 May
Lanzarote
0 : 0
Real Union Tenerife
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1
Lanzarote
25 Apr
Tamaraceite
1 : 1
Lanzarote
Page 1 of 6

San Bartolome

(Away)
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1
San Bartolome
10 May
Tenerife C
0 : 1
San Bartolome
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1
Lanzarote
25 Apr
San Bartolome
0 : 0
UD San Fernando
18 Apr
Arucas
0 : 0
San Bartolome
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Paso 34 18 13 3 51:19 67
2 UD San Fernando 34 19 9 6 49:23 66
3 Mensajero 34 18 9 7 51:31 63
4 Tamaraceite 34 19 6 9 56:36 63
5 Panaderia 34 15 10 9 47:33 55
6 Las Palmas C 34 15 9 10 58:42 54
7 Tenerife C 34 14 10 10 49:46 52
8 Villa Santa Brigida 34 15 5 14 42:35 50
9 Lanzarote 34 12 12 10 45:36 48
10 Real Union Tenerife 34 12 9 13 34:32 45
11 San Miguel 34 10 9 15 37:43 39
12 CD Marino 34 8 15 11 44:40 39
13 Union Sur Yaiza 34 10 8 16 33:43 38
14 San Bartolome 34 8 12 14 30:55 36
15 Arucas 34 7 12 15 31:47 33
16 Herbania 34 7 11 16 39:58 32
17 SD Tenisca 34 6 7 21 32:68 25
18 Telde 34 5 10 19 30:71 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)