Sport Picks
Lanzarote vs UD San Fernando
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 
Match Events
31'
31'
Edu Salles
42'
42'
Ndiaye M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
30%
42%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UD San Fernando
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to UD San Fernando lately — more wins on the board than Lanzarote.
- Model gives UD San Fernando a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and UD San Fernando have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Lanzarote Clean Sheet 22%
UD San Fernando Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lanzarote | UD San Fernando |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 35 |
| Wins | 9 | 20 |
| Draws | 14 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.09 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs UD San Fernando
1:1
Jan 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD San Fernando vs Lanzarote
2:0
Apr 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD San Fernando vs Lanzarote
2:1
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs UD San Fernando
0:3
Jan 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
UD San Fernando vs Lanzarote
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lanzarote Compare
Top Goalscorer Ndiaye M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
UD San Fernando Compare
Top Goalscorer Edu Salles
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lanzarote 21 / 100
UD San Fernando 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lanzarote UD San Fernando
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UD San Fernando Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lanzarote's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Lanzarote remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
UD San Fernando has conceded goals in 40% of their last 35 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lanzarote VS UD San Fernando
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lanzarote
(Home) 03 Oct
Las Palmas C
1 : 2 Lanzarote
27 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1 San Bartolome
19 Sept
Villaverde Norte
1 : 1 Lanzarote
13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1 San Miguel
06 Aug
Lanzarote
1 : 2 Arenas Getxo
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1 San Bartolome
13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1 San Miguel
06 Aug
Lanzarote
1 : 2 Arenas Getxo
10 May
Lanzarote
0 : 0 Real Union Tenerife
19 Apr
Lanzarote
1 : 1 UD San Fernando
Page 1 of 4
UD San Fernando
(Away) 04 Oct
UD San Fernando
3 : 0 Estrella
26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0 UD San Fernando
20 Sept
UD San Fernando
5 : 0 UD Playas de Sotavento
12 Sept
CD Laguna
0 : 3 UD San Fernando
08 Sept
UD San Fernando
1 : 3 Orihuela
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0 UD San Fernando
12 Sept
CD Laguna
0 : 3 UD San Fernando
30 May
Tamaraceite
3 : 0 UD San Fernando
16 May
Panaderia
0 : 2 UD San Fernando
10 May
Mensajero
1 : 0 UD San Fernando
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Paso | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 51:19 | 67 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 49:23 | 66 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 51:31 | 63 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 56:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:33 | 55 |
| 6 | Las Palmas C | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 58:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Tenerife C | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:35 | 50 |
| 9 | Lanzarote | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:36 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Union Tenerife | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:43 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Marino | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 44:40 | 39 |
| 13 | Union Sur Yaiza | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:43 | 38 |
| 14 | San Bartolome | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30:55 | 36 |
| 15 | Arucas | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 31:47 | 33 |
| 16 | Herbania | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39:58 | 32 |
| 17 | SD Tenisca | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:68 | 25 |
| 18 | Telde | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 30:71 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
