Sport Picks
Lanzarote vs Villa Santa Brigida
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 
Match Events
81'
81'
Forlino I.
90'
90'
Martin J.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 game between Lanzarote and Villa Santa Brigida finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lanzarote.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Villa Santa Brigida carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Lanzarote a 35% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Lanzarote Clean Sheet 68%
Villa Santa Brigida Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lanzarote | Villa Santa Brigida |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 13 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs Villa Santa Brigida
2:0
Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs Lanzarote
2:0
Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs Villa Santa Brigida
4:0
Dec 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs Lanzarote
3:2
Mar 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Villa Santa Brigida vs Lanzarote
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lanzarote Compare
Top Goalscorer Forlino I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Martin J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Villa Santa Brigida Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lanzarote 68 / 100
Villa Santa Brigida 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lanzarote Villa Santa Brigida
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lanzarote Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Lanzarote scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Villa Santa Brigida let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Lanzarote has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lanzarote VS Villa Santa Brigida
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Lanzarote
(Home) 03 Oct
Las Palmas C
1 : 2 Lanzarote
27 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1 San Bartolome
19 Sept
Villaverde Norte
1 : 1 Lanzarote
13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1 San Miguel
06 Aug
Lanzarote
1 : 2 Arenas Getxo
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1 San Bartolome
13 Sept
Lanzarote
1 : 1 San Miguel
06 Aug
Lanzarote
1 : 2 Arenas Getxo
10 May
Lanzarote
0 : 0 Real Union Tenerife
19 Apr
Lanzarote
1 : 1 UD San Fernando
Page 1 of 3
Villa Santa Brigida
(Away) 03 Oct
San Bartolome
1 : 1 Villa Santa Brigida
26 Sept
Villa Santa Brigida
2 : 0 Villaverde Norte
19 Sept
San Miguel
3 : 1 Villa Santa Brigida
12 Sept
Villa Santa Brigida
0 : 0 Anaza
29 Aug
Villa Santa Brigida
1 : 5 Tamaraceite
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
San Bartolome
1 : 1 Villa Santa Brigida
19 Sept
San Miguel
3 : 1 Villa Santa Brigida
08 May
Telde
0 : 3 Villa Santa Brigida
26 Apr
Mensajero
2 : 0 Villa Santa Brigida
11 Apr
San Bartolome
2 : 1 Villa Santa Brigida
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Paso | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 51:19 | 67 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 49:23 | 66 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 51:31 | 63 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 56:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:33 | 55 |
| 6 | Las Palmas C | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 58:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Tenerife C | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:35 | 50 |
| 9 | Lanzarote | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:36 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Union Tenerife | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:43 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Marino | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 44:40 | 39 |
| 13 | Union Sur Yaiza | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:43 | 38 |
| 14 | San Bartolome | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30:55 | 36 |
| 15 | Arucas | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 31:47 | 33 |
| 16 | Herbania | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39:58 | 32 |
| 17 | SD Tenisca | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:68 | 25 |
| 18 | Telde | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 30:71 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
