Sport Picks
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
China
FA Cup Lanzhou Olympic Center Stadium, Lanzhou 
Match Events
20'
20'
Wang Zhenghao
Assist: Liu J.
45'
45'
Zhang Junzhe
(Penalty)
1'
1'
Zhang Junzhe
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic in this FA Cup tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic lately — more wins on the board than Tianjin Jinmen Tiger.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic Clean Sheet 25%
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 14 | 7 |
| Losses | 4 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.38 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 0.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 19, 2026 FA Cup
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic Compare
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Compare
Top Goalscorer Wang Zhenghao
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 33 / 100
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TIA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic VS Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
25% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
(Home) 29 Jul
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
2 : 2 Taian Tiankuang
25 Jul
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
2 : 2 Shanghai Second
22 Jul
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
2 : 0 Shaanxi Union
19 Jul
Nantong Haimen
0 : 0 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
04 Jul
Shandong Taishan B
3 : 1 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Page 1 of 6
29 Jul
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
2 : 2 Taian Tiankuang
25 Jul
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
2 : 2 Shanghai Second
22 Jul
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
2 : 0 Shaanxi Union
27 Jun
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
0 : 0 Dalian Yingbo B
19 Jun
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
2 : 1 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Page 1 of 3
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
(Away) 25 Jul
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 2 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
18 Jul
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 2 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
04 Jul
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
3 : 0 Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
27 Jun
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 0 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
19 Jun
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
2 : 1 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Qingdao Hainiu
0 : 2 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
18 Jul
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 2 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
27 Jun
Chongqing Tonglianglong
1 : 0 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
19 Jun
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
2 : 1 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
23 May
Shanghai Port
1 : 1 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Quanzhou Qinggong0
Jiangxi Lushan7
TBD-
Dalian Kun City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Henan Songshan Longmen-
Ningxia Pingluo0
Hangzhou Linping2
TBD-
Foshan Nanshi-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dalian Yingbo-
Guizhou Xufengtang2
Taian Tiankuang1
TBD-
Shijiazhuang Gongfu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shanghai Shenhua-
Yunnan Cuanhe0
Guangzhou Dandelion1
TBD-
Wuxi Wugou-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Qingdao Hainiu-
Yulin Miners2
Ganzhou Ruishi0
TBD-
Suzhou Dongwu-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Yunnan Yukun-
Shanghai Zetian4
Changchun Xidu2
TBD-
Dingnan Ganlian-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chengdu Rongcheng-
Liaocheng Legend2
Beijing Technology1
TBD-
Ningbo Professional-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chongqing Tonglianglong-
Qingdao Fuli0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai2
TBD-
Changchun Yatai-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Qingdao West Coast-
Guangdong Shudihong1
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic4
TBD-
Meizhou Hakka-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger-
Xiamen Chengyi0
Shenzhen 20281
TBD-
Shaanxi Union-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Zhejiang Professional-
Dalian Kewei2
Wenzhou Professional0
TBD-
Nantong Zhiyun-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Liaoning Tieren-
Wuhan Lianzhen1
Xiamen Feilu0
TBD-
Guangdong GZ-Power-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Beijing Guoan-
Chongqing Handa0
Qingdao Red Lions1
TBD-
Nanjing City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Wuhan Three Towns-
Hubei Istar1
Nantong Haimen0
TBD-
Guangxi Hengchen-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shandong Taishan-
Shanghai Second1
Guangdong Mingtu0
TBD-
Yanbian Longding-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shanghai Port-
Beijing Pengrui2
Guizhou Guiyang1
TBD-
Shenzhen Juniors-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng-
1/32-finals
Jiangxi Lushan2
Dalian Kun City0
TBD-
Henan Songshan Longmen-
Hangzhou Linping1
Foshan Nanshi0
TBD-
Dalian Yingbo-
Guizhou Xufengtang0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu1
TBD-
Shanghai Shenhua-
Guangzhou Dandelion0
Wuxi Wugou2
TBD-
Qingdao Hainiu-
Yulin Miners0
Suzhou Dongwu2
TBD-
Yunnan Yukun-
Shanghai Zetian4
Dingnan Ganlian2
TBD-
Chengdu Rongcheng-
Liaocheng Legend1
Ningbo Professional4
TBD-
Chongqing Tonglianglong-
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai2
Changchun Yatai1
TBD-
Qingdao West Coast-
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic2
Meizhou Hakka1
TBD-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger-
Shenzhen 20280
Shaanxi Union2
TBD-
Zhejiang Professional-
Dalian Kewei2
Nantong Zhiyun1
TBD-
Liaoning Tieren-
Wuhan Lianzhen0
Guangdong GZ-Power1
TBD-
Beijing Guoan-
Qingdao Red Lions1
Nanjing City0
TBD-
Wuhan Three Towns-
Hubei Istar0
Guangxi Hengchen4
TBD-
Shandong Taishan-
Shanghai Second1
Yanbian Longding0
TBD-
Shanghai Port-
Beijing Pengrui0
Shenzhen Juniors1
TBD-
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng-
1/16-finals
Jiangxi Lushan0
Henan Songshan Longmen2
Hangzhou Linping1
Dalian Yingbo2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu0
Shanghai Shenhua2
Wuxi Wugou2
Qingdao Hainiu3
Suzhou Dongwu2
Yunnan Yukun4
Shanghai Zetian0
Chengdu Rongcheng4
Ningbo Professional0
Chongqing Tonglianglong2
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1
Qingdao West Coast2
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1
Shaanxi Union2
Zhejiang Professional1
Dalian Kewei1
Liaoning Tieren0
Guangdong GZ-Power1
Beijing Guoan2
Qingdao Red Lions0
Wuhan Three Towns1
Guangxi Hengchen0
Shandong Taishan5
Shanghai Second1
Shanghai Port2
Shenzhen Juniors1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng3
1/8-finals
Henan Songshan Longmen1
Dalian Yingbo2
Shanghai Shenhua4
Qingdao Hainiu1
Yunnan Yukun4
Chengdu Rongcheng3
Chongqing Tonglianglong2
Qingdao West Coast0
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic2
Shaanxi Union0
Dalian Kewei1
Beijing Guoan2
Wuhan Three Towns2
Shandong Taishan3
Shanghai Port2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng1
Quarter-finals
Dalian Yingbo-
Shanghai Shenhua-
Yunnan Yukun-
Chongqing Tonglianglong-
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic-
Beijing Guoan-
Shandong Taishan-
Shanghai Port-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-
