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Laos U23 vs Vietnam U23

Asia Asia

AFF Championship U23 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Somsanith P.
Own Goal
28'
Sub
Khotphouthone P. In: Khambaione T.
Out: Khotphouthone P.
46'
Sub
Thai Ba Dat In: Nguyen Duc Viet
Out: Thai Ba Dat

AI Match Summary

Vietnam U23 in this AFF Championship U23 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vietnam U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Laos U23
30%
Draws
31%
Vietnam U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Laos U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Vietnam U23 have won more games recently than Laos U23.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFF Championship U23 2023 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vietnam U23 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Laos U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Vietnam U23 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laos U23 Vietnam U23
Matches Played 28 40
Wins 7 25
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.18 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2025 ASEAN Championship U23
Laos U23 vs Vietnam U23
0:3
Aug 20, 2023 ASEAN Championship U23
Laos U23 vs Vietnam U23
1:4
Nov 28, 2019 Southeast Asian Games
Vietnam U23 vs Laos U23
6:1
Jun 4, 2015 Southeast Asian Games
Vietnam U23 vs Laos U23
1:0
Dec 15, 2013 Southeast Asian Games
Laos U23 vs Vietnam U23
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Laos U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Khambaione T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Vietnam U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Minh Quang
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dinh X. T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laos U23 30 / 100
Vietnam U23 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laos U23 Vietnam U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Laos U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Vietnam U23 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Laos U23's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Laos U23 VS Vietnam U23
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
4 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Laos U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Laos U23
3 : 1
Macau U23
06 Sept
Laos U23
0 : 7
South Korea U23
03 Sept
Indonesia U23
0 : 0
Laos U23
19 Jul
Laos U23
0 : 3
Vietnam U23
16 Jul
Cambodia U23
1 : 1
Laos U23
Page 1 of 6

Vietnam U23

(Away)
25 Sept
South Korea U23
4 : 0
Vietnam U23
22 Sept
Vietnam U23
0 : 2
Uzbekistan U23
18 Sept
Philippines U23
0 : 2
Vietnam U23
15 Sept
Vietnam U23
1 : 1
Kuwait U23
31 Mar
China U23
1 : 0
Vietnam U23
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U23 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
2 Cambodia U23 3 1 1 1 6:3 4
3 Myanmar U23 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - AFF Championship U23 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaysia U23 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Indonesia U23 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Timor-Leste U23 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - AFF Championship U23 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Philippines U23 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
3 Laos U23 2 0 1 1 3:6 1
Promotion - AFF Championship U23 2023 (Play Offs)