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Laos vs Mongolia

World World

Friendly International 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Artag N. In: Baatar U.
Out: Artag N.
46'
Sub
Tsagaantsooj M. In: Enkhbileg P.
Out: Tsagaantsooj M.
52'
Sub
Gal Erdene S. In: Bilguun G.
Out: Gal Erdene S.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2022 game between Laos and Mongolia finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Laos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Laos
15%
Draws
42%
Mongolia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Laos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Laos's 0.84 goals per match outpaces what Mongolia have produced (0.4).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Friendly International 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Laos Clean Sheet 12%
Mongolia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laos Mongolia
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 5 3
Losses 21 22
Goals Scored 0.84 0.4
Goals Conceded 2.71 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2022 Friendly International
Laos vs Mongolia
1:0
Oct 16, 2018 Friendly International
Laos vs Mongolia
1:4
Nov 9, 2016 AFC Solidarity Cup
Mongolia vs Laos
0:3
Mar 2, 2013 AFC Challenge Cup
Laos vs Mongolia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Laos Compare

Top Goalscorer Chanthalangsy N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Mongolia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laos 30 / 100
Mongolia 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laos Mongolia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mongolia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Mongolia conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Laos scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Away concern: Mongolia has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Laos VS Mongolia
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.5 Goals Conceded 3.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Laos

(Home)
04 Aug
Myanmar
7 : 2
Laos
01 Aug
Laos
1 : 4
Philippines
28 Jul
Malaysia
4 : 0
Laos
25 Jul
Laos
0 : 5
Thailand
31 Mar
Nepal
0 : 1
Laos
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Mongolia

(Away)
05 Jun
Hong Kong
2 : 0
Mongolia
31 May
Singapore
4 : 0
Mongolia
11 Dec
Chinese Taipei
4 : 0
Mongolia
08 Dec
Mongolia
0 : 3
Hong Kong
10 Sept
Mongolia
2 : 0
Timor-Leste
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