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Laos vs Nepal Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

Asian Cup New Laos National Stadium, Vientiane
Laos Logo

Laos

2 - 1
FT
Nepal Logo

Nepal

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Thongkhamsavath D.
Assist: Sangvilay P.
24'
Chand R.
31'
Sub
Pandey B. In: Shrestha S.
Out: Pandey B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Laos
15%
Draws
21%
Nepal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Laos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Nepal come out ahead of Laos on wins alone.
  • 21% — that's where the model lands on Nepal taking it.
  • Nepal arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nepal, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Laos Clean Sheet 10%
Nepal Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laos Nepal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 0.9 0.7
Goals Conceded 2.83 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Asian Cup
Nepal vs Laos
0:1
Jun 10, 2025 Asian Cup
Laos vs Nepal
2:1
Oct 17, 2023 World Championship
Laos vs Nepal
0:1
Oct 12, 2023 World Championship
Nepal vs Laos
1:1
Mar 31, 2023 Friendly International
Nepal vs Laos
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Laos Compare

Top Goalscorer Thongkhamsavath D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Phanthavong P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Nepal Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laos 10 / 100
Nepal 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laos Nepal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nepal Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Laos found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Nepal conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Nepal has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Laos VS Nepal
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
3 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Laos

(Home)
27 Sept
Hong Kong
4 : 0
Laos
24 Sept
Laos
3 : 1
Brunei
04 Aug
Myanmar
7 : 2
Laos
01 Aug
Laos
1 : 4
Philippines
28 Jul
Malaysia
4 : 0
Laos
Page 1 of 6

Nepal

(Away)
31 Mar
Nepal
0 : 1
Laos
18 Nov
Nepal
0 : 1
Malaysia
13 Nov
Bangladesh
2 : 2
Nepal
14 Oct
Nepal
0 : 1
Vietnam
09 Oct
Vietnam
3 : 1
Nepal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
2 Philippines 6 4 2 0 16:6 14
3 Maldives 6 1 0 5 3:13 3
4 Timor-Leste 6 1 0 5 4:15 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yemen 6 4 2 0 20:1 14
2 Lebanon 6 4 1 1 14:2 13
3 Bhutan 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
4 Brunei 6 1 0 5 3:22 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Singapore 6 4 2 0 8:4 14
2 Hong Kong 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
3 Bangladesh 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
4 India 6 1 2 3 4:6 5
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 6 5 0 1 16:5 15
2 Turkmenistan 6 4 0 2 11:7 12
3 Sri Lanka 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Chinese Taipei 6 0 0 6 5:19 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria 6 6 0 0 21:2 18
2 Myanmar 6 4 0 2 8:11 12
3 Afghanistan 6 0 2 4 4:11 2
4 Pakistan 6 0 2 4 2:11 2
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 6 6 0 0 17:2 18
2 Malaysia 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
3 Laos 6 2 0 4 4:16 6
4 Nepal 6 1 0 5 5:8 3
Promotion - Asian Cup (Main)