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Laos vs Philippines - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship New Laos National Stadium, Vientiane
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Thongkhamsavath D.
Assist: Siphanom P.
14'
Somsanith P.
17'
Sub
Siphavanh A. In: Sidavong V.
Out: Siphavanh A.

AI Match Summary

Philippines in this ASEAN Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Philippines.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Laos
15%
Draws
49%
Philippines
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Philippines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Philippines have won more games recently than Laos.
  • Win probability leans Philippines's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this ASEAN Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Philippines have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Laos Clean Sheet 10%
Philippines Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laos Philippines
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 21 13
Goals Scored 0.9 1.67
Goals Conceded 2.84 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 ASEAN Championship
Laos vs Philippines
1:4
Dec 15, 2024 ASEAN Championship
Laos vs Philippines
1:1
Oct 3, 2018 Bangabandhu Gold Cup
Philippines vs Laos
3:1
Dec 1, 2017 Friendly International
Laos vs Philippines
1:3
Nov 22, 2014 ASEAN Championship
Philippines vs Laos
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Laos Compare

Top Goalscorer Thongkhamsavath D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Philippines Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucero J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sato D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.78
Avg xA / game 1.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laos 10 / 100
Philippines 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laos Philippines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Philippines Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Philippines conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Laos found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Difficult form: Philippines registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Laos VS Philippines
1 Goals Scored 2.63
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Laos

(Home)
27 Sept
Hong Kong
4 : 0
Laos
24 Sept
Laos
3 : 1
Brunei
04 Aug
Myanmar
7 : 2
Laos
01 Aug
Laos
1 : 4
Philippines
28 Jul
Malaysia
4 : 0
Laos
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Philippines

(Away)
02 Oct
Thailand
1 : 2
Philippines
29 Sept
Philippines
2 : 2
Pakistan
26 Sept
Vietnam
1 : 0
Philippines
08 Aug
Malaysia
1 : 0
Philippines
04 Aug
Philippines
0 : 1
Thailand
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 4 3 1 0 13:1 10
2 Singapore 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Indonesia 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
4 Cambodia 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
5 Timor-Leste 4 0 0 4 0:15 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 4 4 0 0 10:0 12
2 Malaysia 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 Myanmar 4 2 0 2 12:7 6
4 Philippines 4 1 0 3 5:7 3
5 Laos 4 0 0 4 3:20 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship (Play Offs)