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Lapuan Virkia Lapua vs Vaajakoski

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group C 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group C 2009 game between Lapuan Virkia Lapua and Vaajakoski finished 1-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vaajakoski.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
15%
Draws
49%
Vaajakoski
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vaajakoski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Vaajakoski carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Vaajakoski are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Lapuan Virkia Lapua Clean Sheet 16%
Vaajakoski Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lapuan Virkia Lapua Vaajakoski
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 11
Draws 1 4
Losses 26 14
Goals Scored 1.4 2.03
Goals Conceded 5.07 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2009 Kakkonen Group C
Lapuan Virkia Lapua vs Vaajakoski
1:7
Jun 28, 2009 Kakkonen Group C
Vaajakoski vs Lapuan Virkia Lapua
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lapuan Virkia Lapua 10 / 100
Vaajakoski 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lapuan Virkia Lapua Vaajakoski

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaajakoski Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vaajakoski's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Lapuan Virkia Lapua scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Difficult form: Vaajakoski registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Vaajakoski
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lapuan Virkia Lapua

(Home)
29 Apr
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
1 : 4
JS Hercules
11 Apr
LappBK
1 : 8
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
13 Apr
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
2 : 5
GBK Kokkola
16 Apr
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
1 : 7
AC Oulu
01 Oct
Lapuan Virkia Lapua
1 : 9
AC Kajaani
Page 1 of 6

Vaajakoski

(Away)
19 Sept
Vaajakoski
0 : 1
TP-47
12 Sept
SJK Akatemia 2
2 : 1
Vaajakoski
06 Sept
Vaajakoski
2 : 0
JS Hercules
22 Aug
TP-47
4 : 2
Vaajakoski
15 Aug
Vaajakoski
1 : 1
GBK Kokkola
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OPS 26 21 3 2 68:25 66
2 Oulun Pallo 26 20 3 3 82:21 63
3 YPA 26 18 1 7 66:34 55
4 VIFK 26 14 6 6 49:26 48
5 SJK 26 14 1 11 56:52 43
6 Vaajakoski 26 12 2 12 59:51 38
7 JBK 26 10 5 11 45:46 35
8 GBK Kokkola 26 9 6 11 37:37 33
9 FCJ Blackbird 26 8 6 12 42:56 30
10 Santa Claus 26 9 2 15 52:75 29
11 PK-37 26 7 5 14 33:47 26
12 OLS Oulu 26 6 6 14 41:59 24
13 NFF Norrvalla 26 5 4 17 41:82 19
14 Lapuan Virkia Lapua 26 2 4 20 33:93 10
Promotion - Ykkonen 2010 (Main)