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Laracha vs Bergantinos

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2018/2019
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2018/2019 game between Laracha and Bergantinos finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bergantinos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Laracha
15%
Draws
64%
Bergantinos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bergantinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Bergantinos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Bergantinos are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bergantinos have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Laracha Clean Sheet 18%
Bergantinos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laracha Bergantinos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 9 5
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.17 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Laracha vs Bergantinos
2:3
Sep 23, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Laracha
1:1
May 6, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Laracha vs Bergantinos
1:3
Dec 3, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Bergantinos vs Laracha
1:0
Mar 29, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Laracha vs Bergantinos
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laracha 10 / 100
Bergantinos 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laracha Bergantinos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bergantinos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Laracha's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Bergantinos has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Laracha went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bergantinos
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Laracha

(Home)
19 May
Laracha
0 : 3
Porrino Industrial
12 May
UD Ourense
2 : 2
Laracha
05 May
Laracha
1 : 3
Racing Club Ferrol
01 May
Arosa SC
1 : 0
Laracha
28 Apr
Laracha
5 : 1
Compostela
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Bergantinos

(Away)
27 Sept
Bergantinos
3 : 2
Portugalete
20 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 3
Bergantinos
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Bergantinos
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0
Amorebieta
09 Sept
Bergantinos
5 : 0
Leioa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Club Ferrol 38 23 9 6 80:35 78
2 Bergantinos 38 22 8 8 58:42 74
3 Compostela 38 20 8 10 80:47 68
4 Alondras 38 19 8 11 47:36 65
5 Barco 38 19 7 12 58:43 64
6 Ourense CF 38 18 10 10 51:24 64
7 CD Choco 38 16 11 11 59:47 59
8 UD Ourense 38 16 11 11 45:39 59
9 Arosa SC 38 17 6 15 57:44 57
10 Lugo B 38 15 7 16 55:53 52
11 Racing Club Villalbes 38 14 10 14 47:48 52
12 Silva SD 38 14 6 18 52:56 48
13 Arenteiro 38 12 11 15 41:53 47
14 Somozas 38 12 10 16 45:52 46
15 Paiosaco 38 12 9 17 46:59 45
16 Celtiga 38 12 5 21 36:66 41
17 Laracha 38 10 10 18 42:49 40
18 Ribadumia 38 9 11 18 41:65 38
19 CD Boiro 38 8 7 23 34:79 31
20 Porrino Industrial 38 7 6 25 37:74 27
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)