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Laranja Mecanica vs Apucarana SC

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense 2 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Bacarin C.
90' Event
Raphael Stard

AI Match Summary

Laranja Mecanica in this Paranaense 2 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Laranja Mecanica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Laranja Mecanica
6%
Draws
4%
Apucarana SC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Laranja Mecanica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Apucarana SC haven't matched Laranja Mecanica's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Laranja Mecanica a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Laranja Mecanica have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Laranja Mecanica Clean Sheet 20%
Apucarana SC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Laranja Mecanica Apucarana SC
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 11 8
Draws 11 4
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 0.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2024 Paranaense 2
Apucarana SC vs Laranja Mecanica
1:2
Jun 25, 2023 Paranaense 2
Laranja Mecanica vs Apucarana SC
2:0
Apr 20, 2022 Paranaense 2
Laranja Mecanica vs Apucarana SC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Laranja Mecanica Compare

Top Goalscorer Bacarin C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Raphael Stard
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Apucarana SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Laranja Mecanica 85 / 100
Apucarana SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Laranja Mecanica Apucarana SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Apucarana SC registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Apucarana SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Laranja Mecanica went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Laranja Mecanica VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Laranja Mecanica

(Home)
09 May
Laranja Mecanica
1 : 2
Paranavai-PR
02 May
Paranavai-PR
0 : 0
Laranja Mecanica
25 Apr
Laranja Mecanica
0 : 1
Nacional PR
19 Apr
Paranavai-PR
0 : 2
Laranja Mecanica
11 Apr
Laranja Mecanica
0 : 0
Batel
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Apucarana SC

(Away)
30 Jun
Rio Branco PR
4 : 0
Apucarana SC
23 Jun
Foz do Iguacu
2 : 0
Apucarana SC
15 Jun
Apucarana SC
1 : 2
Laranja Mecanica
09 Jun
Apucarana SC
0 : 1
Paranavai-PR
01 Jun
Patriotas
2 : 1
Apucarana SC
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Patriotas963014:521
2Clube Andraus Brasil953118:818
3AA Iguacu951313:916
4Parana S.T.C.943217:915
5Parana935114:914
6Apucarana SC94148:1113
7Laranja Mecanica934212:913
8Gremio Maringa92259:148
9Toledo912610:155
10Araucaria90094:300
Promotion - Paranaense 2 2023 (Play Offs)