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Largs Thistle vs Auchinleck Talbot - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Sewell W.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Main L.
Penalty Missed
73' Event
Sewell W.

AI Match Summary

Largs Thistle in this Lowland League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Largs Thistle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Largs Thistle
15%
Draws
32%
Auchinleck Talbot
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Largs Thistle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Auchinleck Talbot lately — more wins on the board than Largs Thistle.
  • Largs Thistle are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Largs Thistle Clean Sheet 10%
Auchinleck Talbot Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Largs Thistle Auchinleck Talbot
Matches Played 12 30
Wins 8 18
Draws 2 1
Losses 2 11
Goals Scored 1.33 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Lowland League
Auchinleck Talbot vs Largs Thistle
0:1
Aug 15, 2026 Lowland League
Largs Thistle vs Auchinleck Talbot
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Largs Thistle Compare

Top Goalscorer Sewell W.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Auchinleck Talbot Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Largs Thistle 40 / 100
Auchinleck Talbot 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Largs Thistle Auchinleck Talbot

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Largs Thistle's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Defensive concern: Auchinleck Talbot conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Largs Thistle remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Largs Thistle VS Auchinleck Talbot
1.38 Goals Scored 3.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Largs Thistle

(Home)
03 Oct
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 1
Largs Thistle
26 Sept
Beith
1 : 1
Largs Thistle
23 Sept
Largs Thistle
1 : 0
Johnstone Burgh
16 Sept
Auchinleck Talbot
0 : 1
Largs Thistle
12 Sept
Clydebank FC
4 : 0
Largs Thistle
Page 1 of 3

Auchinleck Talbot

(Away)
02 Oct
Cumnock Juniors
2 : 0
Auchinleck Talbot
26 Sept
Auchinleck Talbot
4 : 0
Cumnock Juniors
22 Sept
Kilwinning Rangers
3 : 0
Auchinleck Talbot
16 Sept
Auchinleck Talbot
0 : 1
Largs Thistle
12 Sept
Auchinleck Talbot
3 : 1
Caledonian Braves
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 9 8 1 0 18:5 25
2 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
3 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
4 Broxburn Athletic 9 7 1 1 15:8 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 10 5 2 3 25:18 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
14 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
15 Renfrew 10 2 1 7 18:29 7
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)