Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Larkhall vs Bath City

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Alves J.

AI Match Summary

Bath City in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bath City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Larkhall
20%
Draws
58%
Bath City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bath City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Larkhall have won more games recently than Bath City.
  • Bath City are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bath City have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Larkhall Clean Sheet 19%
Bath City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Larkhall Bath City
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 11 8
Draws 1 8
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.37 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Larkhall vs Bath City
0:1
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Bath City vs Larkhall
3:1
Sep 16, 2023 FA Cup
Larkhall vs Bath City
2:3
Jul 3, 2021 Club Friendly
Larkhall vs Bath City
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Larkhall Compare

Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Bath City Compare

Top Goalscorer Alves J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Larkhall 28 / 100
Bath City 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Larkhall Bath City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bath City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bath City conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Larkhall's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Solid form: Larkhall remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Larkhall VS Bath City
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Larkhall

(Home)
06 Sept
Tavistock
2 : 1
Larkhall
22 Jul
Larkhall
0 : 1
Bath City
28 Sept
Boreham Wood
2 : 1
Larkhall
14 Sept
Frome Town
0 : 1
Larkhall
07 Sept
Tavistock
3 : 2
Larkhall
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Bath City

(Away)
22 Aug
Basingstoke
1 : 1
Bath City
15 Aug
Bath City
1 : 0
Hanworth Villa
11 Aug
Bath City
1 : 1
Plymouth Parkway
08 Aug
Sholing
1 : 2
Bath City
01 Aug
Farnborough
3 : 0
Bath City
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