Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Larkhall vs Dorchester

England England

FA Trophy
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Larkhall
20%
Draws
20%
Dorchester
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Larkhall

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Larkhall average 1.39 goals a game right now, well clear of Dorchester's 1.3.
  • Model gives Larkhall a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Larkhall, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Larkhall Clean Sheet 18%
Dorchester Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Larkhall Dorchester
Matches Played 28 37
Wins 12 12
Draws 1 8
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.39 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 FA Trophy
Larkhall vs Dorchester
2:1
Jul 30, 2024 Club Friendly
Dorchester vs Larkhall
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Larkhall 85 / 100
Dorchester 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Larkhall Dorchester

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Larkhall Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Larkhall scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Dorchester has conceded goals in 76% of their last 37 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Dorchester registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Larkhall VS Dorchester
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Larkhall

(Home)
29 Aug
Larkhall
2 : 1
Dorchester
06 Sept
Tavistock
2 : 1
Larkhall
22 Jul
Larkhall
0 : 1
Bath City
28 Sept
Boreham Wood
2 : 1
Larkhall
14 Sept
Frome Town
0 : 1
Larkhall
Page 1 of 6

Dorchester

(Away)
29 Aug
Larkhall
2 : 1
Dorchester
25 Apr
Dorchester
0 : 4
Sholing
18 Apr
Hungerford
0 : 0
Dorchester
11 Apr
Dorchester
0 : 5
Gloucester City
06 Apr
Weymouth
0 : 0
Dorchester
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Liversedge 0
Bootle 5
Prescot Cables 4
Vauxhall 1
Hallam 4
Mossley AFC 3
Stocksbridge 1
Runcorn Linnets 2
Heaton Stannington 0
Wythenshawe FC 1
Padiham 0
Pontefract Collieries 7
FC Guisborough Town 3
Ossett United 2
FC Congleton Town 4
Atherton Collieries 1
Lower Breck 4
North Ferriby FC 0
Garforth 2
Bridlington Town 3
Stalybridge 2
Bradford PA 1
Blyth Spartans 2
1874 Northwich 0
Morpeth 2
Witton Albion 0
Silsden 3
Consett 2
Ashington 3
West Auckland Town 1
Grimsby Borough 0
Dunston 1
Newcastle Town 0
Bourne 3
Lincoln Utd. 1
Nuneaton 2
Chasetown 3
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Hanley Town 2
Coleshill Town 0
Carlton Town 2
Shepshed 3
Loughborough Students 1
Barwell 0
Corby 0
Stafford 2
Boldmere St Michaels 1
St Ives Town 0
Grantham Town 1
Mickleover 3
Lichfield City 0
Matlock 5
Coventry United 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Basford Utd. 0
Bedworth United 1
Shifnal Town 4
Rugby Borough 2
Worcester Raiders 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 2
Wellingborough 2
Belper Town 1
Boston Town 1
Nantwich 2
Fakenham 2
Wroxham 1
Concord Rangers 2
FC Witham Town 1
Winslow United -
Milton Keynes Irish -
Haringey Borough 2
Newmarket 3
Little Oakley 2
Biggleswade FC 3
Waltham Abbey 2
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Stotfold 0
Gorleston 3
Potters 2
Barton 1
Cambridge City 2
Redbridge 1
Sudbury 3
Lowestoft 1
Welwyn Garden 3
Mulbarton Wanderers 0
Walthamstow FC 3
Leverstock Green 2
Canvey Island 4
Grays 1
Tilbury 0
Hertford Town 1
Hashtag 3
Royston Town 1
Ware 2
Brightlingsea 1
London Lions 0
Takeley 2
Beaconsfield Town 1
Sheppey United 2
Peacehaven & Telscombe 2
Merstham 1
Marlow 0
Hayes & Yeading 4
Ascot United 3
Margate 0
Bognor Regis 3
South Park 0
Windsor & Eton 0
Southall FC 2
Portchester 1
Whitstable Town 3
Flackwell Heath 0
Faversham 3
Croydon Athletic 3
Sevenoaks 2
Punjab United 0
Horley Town 2
Westfield 1
Egham Town 2
Aylesbury United 6
Sittingbourne 4
Erith Town 2
Cray Valley 1
Crowborough 2
Ashford United 4
Binfield 2
Deal Town 4
Eastbourne Town 1
Bedfont Sports 0
Herne Bay 4
Kingstonian 3
Hastings 2
Hendon 1
Littlehampton 2
Raynes Park Vale 3
Steyning Town 1
Moneyfields 2
Bishops Cleeve 1
Bristol Manor Farm 3
Hartpury University 4
Exmouth Town 1
Swindon Supermarine 0
Slimbridge 1
Portland United 3
Hungerford 1
Bideford 1
Tiverton 2
AFC Stoneham 2
Shaftesbury Town 0
Willand Rovers 2
Falmouth Town 1
Weymouth 5
Melksham 1
Larkhall 2
Dorchester 1
Westbury United 0
Thame United 1
Didcot 2
Winchester City 1
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