Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Larne vs Belfast Celtic Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Donnelly M.
27' Event
Donnelly M.
32' Event
McDaid D.

AI Match Summary

Larne in this Irish Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 8-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Larne
15%
Draws
14%
Belfast Celtic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Larne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Belfast Celtic haven't matched Larne's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Larne a 71% chance of winning this.
  • Larne have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Larne, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Larne Clean Sheet 20%
Belfast Celtic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Larne Belfast Celtic
Matches Played 32 10
Wins 19 5
Draws 6 0
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.78 1.7
Goals Conceded 1 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 4, 2020 Irish Cup
Larne vs Belfast Celtic
8:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Larne Compare

Top Goalscorer Donnelly M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader McDaid D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Belfast Celtic Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Larne 85 / 100
Belfast Celtic 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Larne Belfast Celtic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Larne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belfast Celtic's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 10 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Solid form: Larne remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Larne scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Larne VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Larne

(Home)
19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5
Larne
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0
Cliftonville
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2
Larne
08 Sept
Larne
1 : 0
Bangor FC
04 Sept
Larne
2 : 1
Glentoran
Page 1 of 7

Belfast Celtic

(Away)
14 Jan
Moyola
1 : 0
Belfast Celtic
23 Nov
Portstewart
0 : 1
Belfast Celtic
03 Aug
Belfast Celtic
1 : 2
Carrick Rangers
20 Jul
Ballyclare
1 : 0
Belfast Celtic
27 Apr
Carrick Rangers
3 : 0
Belfast Celtic
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Knockbreda -
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Dergview -
Ballinamallard -
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Dollingstown -
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Lower Maze -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
Ballynahinch United -
Strabane Athletic -
Maiden City 3
Bourneview Mill 2
TBD -
Tullycarnet -
Armagh 7
Bangor Old Boys 0
Tullyvallen Rangers 2
Dunloy 3
Warrenpoint -
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PSNI -
Ballymena -
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Tandragee -
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18th Newtownabbey Old Boys -
Comber Rec 2
Bangor Amateurs FC 0
Dromara 3
Coagh Utd 6
Crumlin Star 8
Kilmore Rec 0
Desertmartin 1
Trojans 3
Greenisland -
TBD -
Bloomfield 1
Foundry 3
Ballyclare -
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Harland & Wolff -
Larne -
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Portstewart -
TBD -
Dromore Amateurs 1
Belfast Celtic 9
Woodvale 5
Windmill 1
Derriaghy 1
Annagh 4
Tobermore -
TBD -
Barn 0
Oxford Sunnyside 3
Suffolk 3
St Luke's 0
TBD -
Larne Technical Old Boys -
Glenavon -
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Coleraine -
Newcastle 4
Grove 2
Dungiven 1
Banbridge 2
Dunmurry Rec 3
Rosemount Rec 2
Holywood 1
Newbuildings 4
Lurgan Town Boys 3
Iveagh Utd 1
Abbey Villa 1
St. James' Swifts 4
Ballymacash 3
St Oliver Plunkett 2
TBD -
Dunmurry Y.M. -
Ballymoney -
TBD -
St. Marys 1
East Belfast 3
Newtowne FC -
Drumaness -
Newington FC 5
Cookstown Youth 0
Ardstraw 3
Fivemiletown 2
Ards Rangers 1
Wakehurst 3
Islandmagee -
TBD -
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Shorts -
Institute -
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Dungannon -
Newry City -
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Limavady 3
Ballynure Old Boys 0
TBD -
Immaculata -
Aquinas -
TBD -
Seapatrick 0
Craigavon City 5
Banbridge Rangers 2
Saintfield 0
Ballynahinch Olympic 2
Bangor FC 3
Moneyslane FC 2
Malachians 1
Markethill 1
Mossley FC 4
Cliftonville -
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Glebe 3
Cookstown RBL 2
Laurelvale 1
Chimney 5
Richhill -
Ballywalter Recreation -
TBD -
Valley Rangers -
Hanover -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
Oxford Stars -
Killyleagh Youth 1
Rosario Youth 0
Rectory Rangers 0
Downshire Y.M. 2
Loughgall -
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Brantwood -
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Colin Valley 0
Moyola 11
Crewe -
Donegal -
Bryansburn 1
Crumlin United 3
Shankill -
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Lisburn Rangers -
Rathfriland Rangers -
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Sirocco 2
Seagoe 3
Queens University -
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Linfield -
Glentoran -
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Portadown -
Ards -
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Carrick Rangers -
Crusaders -
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Dundela -
1/128-finals
Knockbreda -
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Dergview -
Ballinamallard -
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Dollingstown 5
Lower Maze 0
Lisburn Distillery 3
Strabane Athletic 2
Maiden City 1
Tullycarnet 3
Armagh 2
Dunloy 1
Warrenpoint -
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PSNI -
Ballymena -
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Tandragee 5
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 7
Comber Rec 2
Coagh Utd 4
Crumlin Star -
Trojans -
Greenisland 2
Foundry 0
Ballyclare -
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Harland & Wolff -
Larne -
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Portstewart 0
Belfast Celtic 1
Woodvale 1
Annagh 7
Tobermore 7
Oxford Sunnyside 1
Suffolk 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 4
Glenavon -
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Coleraine -
Newcastle 0
Banbridge 5
Dunmurry Rec 3
Newbuildings 2
Lurgan Town Boys 0
St. James' Swifts 4
Ballymacash 2
Dunmurry Y.M. 1
Ballymoney 2
East Belfast 3
Newtowne FC 0
Newington FC 2
Ardstraw 4
Wakehurst 1
Islandmagee 5
Shorts 2
Institute -
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Dungannon -
Newry City -
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Limavady 2
Immaculata 0
Aquinas 2
Craigavon City 1
Banbridge Rangers 0
Bangor FC 3
Moneyslane FC 9
Mossley FC 0
Cliftonville -
TBD -
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Glebe 1
Chimney 2
Richhill 0
Valley Rangers 3
Hanover -
Oxford Stars -
Killyleagh Youth 1
Downshire Y.M. 0
Loughgall -
TBD -
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Brantwood 4
Moyola 3
Crewe 3
Crumlin United 4
Shankill 1
Lisburn Rangers 4
Rathfriland Rangers 4
Seagoe 2
Queens University -
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Linfield -
Glentoran -
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Portadown -
Ards -
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Carrick Rangers -
Crusaders -
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Dundela -
1/64-finals
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown 2
Lisburn Distillery 1
Tullycarnet 4
Armagh 3
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 2
Coagh Utd 3
Crumlin Star 1
Greenisland 0
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Belfast Celtic 3
Annagh 1
Tobermore 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 3
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Banbridge 2
Dunmurry Rec 1
St. James' Swifts 0
Ballymacash 4
East Belfast 3
Newington FC 0
Ardstraw 1
Islandmagee 2
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady 3
Aquinas 0
Bangor FC 5
Moneyslane FC 1
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chimney 0
Valley Rangers 3
Hanover 3
Killyleagh Youth 2
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brantwood 1
Crumlin United 0
Lisburn Rangers 0
Rathfriland Rangers 3
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Portadown -
Ards -
TBD -
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TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
1/32-finals
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
Dollingstown 6
Tullycarnet 0
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Ballymena -
TBD -
Coagh Utd 0
Crumlin Star 1
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Larne -
TBD -
Belfast Celtic 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Banbridge 3
Ballymacash 2
East Belfast 7
Islandmagee 1
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Newry City -
TBD -
Limavady 1
Bangor FC 3
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Valley Rangers 1
Hanover 5
Loughgall -
TBD -
Brantwood 2
Rathfriland Rangers 5
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
1/16-finals
Knockbreda 3
Dergview 2
Ballinamallard 1
Dollingstown 0
Warrenpoint 3
PSNI 1
Ballymena 2
Crumlin Star 0
Ballyclare 2
Harland & Wolff 1
Larne 8
Belfast Celtic 0
Glenavon 0
Coleraine 2
Banbridge 3
East Belfast 2
Institute 2
Dungannon 3
Newry City 3
Bangor FC 1
Cliftonville 6
Hanover 0
Loughgall 1
Rathfriland Rangers 2
Queens University 2
Linfield 1
Glentoran 3
Portadown 2
Ards 1
Carrick Rangers 3
Crusaders 3
Dundela 0
1/8-finals
Knockbreda 2
Ballinamallard 5
Warrenpoint 1
Ballymena 2
Ballyclare 0
Larne 1
Coleraine 3
Banbridge 0
Dungannon 4
Newry City 2
Cliftonville 3
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Queens University 2
Glentoran 3
Carrick Rangers 1
Crusaders 5
Quarter-finals
Ballinamallard 0
Ballymena 2
Larne 2
Coleraine 3
Dungannon 1
Cliftonville 2
Glentoran 2
Crusaders 1
Semi-finals
Ballymena 2
Coleraine 1
Cliftonville 1
Glentoran 2
Final
Ballymena 1
Glentoran 2