Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Larne vs Coleraine

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Charity Shield Inver Park, Larne
Fri, Jul 3, 2026
1 - 0
06:45 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Sloan D. In: Cosgrove T.
Out: Sloan D.
46'
Sub
O'Neill P. In: Ukek J.
Out: O'Neill P.
46'
Sub
McClelland S. In: Doherty R.
Out: McClelland S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Larne
15%
Draws
42%
Coleraine
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Larne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Coleraine carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Coleraine arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Larne, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Larne Clean Sheet 12%
Coleraine Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Larne Coleraine
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 21
Draws 5 3
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.6 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Coleraine vs Larne
0:0
Jul 3, 2026 Charity Shield
Larne vs Coleraine
1:0
Apr 7, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Coleraine
1:4
Apr 4, 2026 Irish Cup
Coleraine vs Larne
2:1
Jan 2, 2026 NIFL Premiership
Larne vs Coleraine
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Larne 35 / 100
Coleraine 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Larne Coleraine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coleraine Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Larne has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Larne found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Coleraine's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Larne VS Coleraine
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Larne

(Home)
19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5
Larne
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0
Cliftonville
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2
Larne
08 Sept
Larne
1 : 0
Bangor FC
04 Sept
Larne
2 : 1
Glentoran
Page 1 of 6

Coleraine

(Away)
19 Sept
Coleraine
1 : 0
Limavady
15 Sept
Glentoran
1 : 2
Coleraine
11 Sept
Coleraine
3 : 2
Ballymena
05 Sept
Coleraine
4 : 1
Crusaders
28 Aug
Portadown
0 : 3
Coleraine
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Larne 1
Coleraine 0