Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Larne vs Crumlin Star - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
McNeill J.
26' Event
Hughes J.
65' Event
McDaid D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Larne advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Larne
15%
Draws
24%
Crumlin Star
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Larne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Crumlin Star carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Larne are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Crumlin Star arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Larne, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Larne Clean Sheet 68%
Crumlin Star Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Larne Crumlin Star
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 21
Draws 4 0
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.67 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2019 Irish Cup
Larne vs Crumlin Star
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Larne Compare

Top Goalscorer Hughes J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McDaid D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Crumlin Star Compare

Top Goalscorer McNeill J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Larne 95 / 100
Crumlin Star 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Larne Crumlin Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Larne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Larne stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Larne scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Crumlin Star's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Larne VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Larne

(Home)
19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5
Larne
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0
Cliftonville
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2
Larne
08 Sept
Larne
1 : 0
Bangor FC
04 Sept
Larne
2 : 1
Glentoran
Page 1 of 6

Crumlin Star

(Away)
06 Jan
Institute
2 : 0
Crumlin Star
25 Dec
Crumlin Star
2 : 3
Comber Rec
25 Nov
Crumlin Star
2 : 0
Limavady
04 Jan
Ballymena
2 : 0
Crumlin Star
30 Nov
Coagh Utd
0 : 1
Crumlin Star
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
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Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
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Islandmagee 6
Cookstown Youth 1
Aquinas 3
Foundry 4
Moneyslane FC -
TBD -
Bangor Swifts 1
Crumlin United 2
Newtowne FC 6
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3
Broomhedge 1
Ballynahinch Olympic 12
Annagh -
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Rosemount Rec -
Cliftonville -
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Dungannon -
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
St Luke's 0
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Dundonald -
Dunmurry Rec 4
Mossley FC 3
Iveagh Utd 2
Dungiven 5
Lurgan Town Boys -
TBD -
Ballynure Old Boys 2
Desertmartin 3
Armagh -
TBD -
Hanover 0
Dunloy 2
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Limavady -
Knockbreda -
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St. James' Swifts 2
Sofia Farmer 1
Seapatrick 1
Coagh Utd 6
Ards Rangers -
TBD -
Holywood 1
Newbuildings 2
Banbridge -
TBD -
Dunmurry Y.M. 4
Rathfriland Rangers 5
Ballymoney 2
Rosario Youth 1
Derriaghy 1
Strabane Athletic 2
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Ardstraw 7
Dromore Amateurs 0
TBD -
Tobermore -
Brantwood 4
Orangefield Old Boys' 2
Saintfield 1
Laurelvale 3
Valley Rangers 3
Tandragee 2
TBD -
Newington FC -
Comber Rec 1
Immaculata 0
Dromara 1
Lisburn Rangers 2
Downshire Y.M. -
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Drumaness -
Shankill -
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Bangor Old Boys -
Wellington Rec -
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Lisburn Distillery -
Institute -
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Warrenpoint -
Coleraine -
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Harland & Wolff -
Maiden City 9
Malachians 2
Lower Maze 2
Trojans 3
Ballynahinch United 3
Groomsport 2
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Seagoe -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
Woodvale 2
St. Patricks Young 3
Oxford Sunnyside 6
Bryansburn 3
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Portstewart -
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Dergview -
Crumlin Star -
TBD -
Markethill 3
Killyleagh Youth 5
Banbridge Rangers 2
Sirocco 0
Glebe 1
Bangor FC 2
Sport & Leisure -
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Ballymacash 1
Kilmore Rec 3
Moyola -
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Crewe -
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Loughgall -
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Dundela -
Abbey Villa -
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Chimney 2
Grove 5
Colin Valley 2
Suffolk 1
Silverwood 1
Shorts 8
Fivemiletown 7
Bloomfield 0
Oxford Stars 0
Wakehurst 1
Bangor Amateurs FC 3
Newcastle 2
Tullyvallen Rangers 3
Tullycarnet 4
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Portadown -
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Ballyclare -
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Crusaders -
1/128-finals
Ballinamallard -
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PSNI -
Ards -
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Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
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Islandmagee 2
Foundry 1
Moneyslane FC 1
Crumlin United 5
Newtowne FC 1
Ballynahinch Olympic 0
Annagh 1
Rosemount Rec 2
Cliftonville -
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Dungannon -
Larne Technical Old Boys 3
Dundonald 0
Dunmurry Rec 1
Dungiven 4
Lurgan Town Boys 4
Desertmartin 1
Armagh 0
Dunloy 2
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Limavady -
Knockbreda -
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St. James' Swifts 4
Coagh Utd 2
Ards Rangers 0
Newbuildings 2
Banbridge 3
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Ballymoney 1
Strabane Athletic 5
Queens University 4
Dollingstown 3
Ardstraw 3
Tobermore 5
Brantwood 2
Laurelvale 1
Valley Rangers 1
Newington FC 3
Comber Rec 4
Lisburn Rangers 1
Downshire Y.M. 0
Drumaness 4
Shankill 2
Bangor Old Boys 1
Wellington Rec 0
Lisburn Distillery 2
Institute -
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Warrenpoint -
Coleraine -
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Harland & Wolff -
Maiden City 3
Trojans 1
Ballynahinch United 3
Seagoe 4
Lurgan Celtic -
St. Patricks Young -
Oxford Sunnyside -
Portstewart -
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Dergview -
Crumlin Star 3
Killyleagh Youth 2
Banbridge Rangers 0
Bangor FC 2
Sport & Leisure 2
Kilmore Rec 1
Moyola 1
Crewe 2
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Loughgall -
Newry City -
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Larne -
Ballymena -
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Dundela -
Abbey Villa 4
Grove 3
Colin Valley 3
Shorts 4
Fivemiletown 3
Wakehurst 2
Bangor Amateurs FC 0
Tullycarnet 1
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Portadown -
Linfield -
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Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
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Crusaders -
1/64-finals
Ballinamallard -
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PSNI -
Ards -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Islandmagee 3
Crumlin United 1
Newtowne FC 1
Rosemount Rec 2
Cliftonville -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Dungiven 1
Lurgan Town Boys 1
Dunloy 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St. James' Swifts 2
Newbuildings 0
Banbridge 0
Strabane Athletic 2
Queens University 6
Tobermore 3
Brantwood 2
Newington FC 3
Comber Rec 2
Drumaness 1
Shankill 2
Lisburn Distillery 4
Institute -
TBD -
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TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
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Harland & Wolff -
Maiden City 4
Seagoe 1
Lurgan Celtic 2
Portstewart 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Crumlin Star 5
Bangor FC 3
Sport & Leisure 0
Crewe 1
TBD -
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TBD -
Loughgall -
Newry City -
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TBD -
Larne -
Ballymena -
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Dundela -
Abbey Villa 3
Shorts 1
Fivemiletown 1
Tullycarnet 2
TBD -
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Portadown -
Linfield -
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Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
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TBD -
Crusaders -
1/32-finals
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Glenavon -
TBD -
Islandmagee 1
Rosemount Rec 3
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Dunloy 0
TBD -
Limavady -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
St. James' Swifts 0
Strabane Athletic 2
Queens University 4
Newington FC 1
Comber Rec 3
Lisburn Distillery 4
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Maiden City 1
Portstewart 0
TBD -
Dergview -
Crumlin Star 2
Crewe 1
TBD -
Loughgall -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Abbey Villa 4
Tullycarnet 3
TBD -
Portadown -
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Ballinamallard 5
PSNI 1
Ards 0
Carrick Rangers 1
Glenavon 5
Rosemount Rec 0
Cliftonville 0
Dungannon 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 2
Limavady 0
Knockbreda 1
Strabane Athletic 2
Queens University 6
Lisburn Distillery 0
Institute 0
Warrenpoint 2
Coleraine 2
Harland & Wolff 0
Maiden City 2
Dergview 3
Crumlin Star 4
Loughgall 1
Newry City 1
Larne 2
Ballymena 3
Dundela 1
Abbey Villa 1
Portadown 5
Linfield 1
Ballyclare 0
Glentoran 1
Crusaders 4
1/8-finals
Ballinamallard 1
Carrick Rangers 0
Glenavon 0
Dungannon 1
Larne Technical Old Boys 3
Strabane Athletic 1
Queens University 0
Warrenpoint 2
Coleraine 3
Dergview 0
Crumlin Star 1
Larne 3
Ballymena 4
Portadown 1
Linfield 1
Crusaders 2
Quarter-finals
Ballinamallard 3
Dungannon 2
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Warrenpoint 3
Coleraine 5
Larne 3
Ballymena 0
Crusaders 3
Semi-finals
Ballinamallard 1
Warrenpoint 0
Coleraine 0
Crusaders 2
Final
Ballinamallard 0
Crusaders 3