Sport Picks
Match Events
20'
20'
Seol Young-Woo
26'
26'
Bruno Duarte
(Penalty)
28'
28'
Graham S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 5-0. The second leg ended 0-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Larne
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Larne have managed 1.6 goals a game lately — Crvena zvezda are scoring more at 2.1.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Crvena zvezda, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Larne Clean Sheet 19%
Crvena zvezda Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Larne | Crvena zvezda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 2.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 29, 2026 Champions League
Crvena zvezda vs Larne
5:0
Jul 21, 2026 Champions League
Larne vs Crvena zvezda
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Larne Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Crvena zvezda Compare
Top Goalscorer Kostov V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bruno Duarte
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Larne 32 / 100
Crvena zvezda 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Larne Crvena zvezda
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.
Larne went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Larne scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Crvena zvezda conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Larne VS Crvena zvezda
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Larne
(Home) 19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5 Larne
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0 Cliftonville
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2 Larne
08 Sept
Larne
1 : 0 Bangor FC
04 Sept
Larne
2 : 1 Glentoran
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0 Cliftonville
08 Sept
Larne
1 : 0 Bangor FC
04 Sept
Larne
2 : 1 Glentoran
27 Aug
Larne
0 : 3 Lincoln Red Imps
04 Aug
Larne
0 : 0 Iberia 1999
Page 1 of 3
Crvena zvezda
(Away) 20 Sept
Crvena zvezda
3 : 0 Radnicki Nis
17 Sept
Zeleznicar Pancevo
1 : 2 Crvena zvezda
13 Sept
IMT Novi Beograd
0 : 1 Crvena zvezda
10 Sept
Radnik Surdulica
0 : 0 Crvena zvezda
06 Sept
Crvena zvezda
2 : 1 Partizan
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17 Sept
Zeleznicar Pancevo
1 : 2 Crvena zvezda
13 Sept
IMT Novi Beograd
0 : 1 Crvena zvezda
10 Sept
Radnik Surdulica
0 : 0 Crvena zvezda
30 Aug
Zemun
0 : 2 Crvena zvezda
27 Aug
Plzen
5 : 1 Crvena zvezda
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Borac Banja Luka 1
Levski Sofia 5
ML Vitebsk 1
Univ. Craiova 5
Omonia -
TBD -
Kairat Almaty 4
Sutjeska 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Klaksvik 4
Bissen 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Drita 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 4
Inter Escaldes 2
Flora 4
Iberia 1999 5
TBD -
Slovan Bratislava -
Ararat-Armenia 4
Riga FC 3
Floriana 3
Shamrock Rovers 5
Petrocub Hincesti 2
KF Egnatia 7
TBD -
Celje -
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Gyor 2
TBD -
H. Beer Sheva -
Tre Fiori 1
Larne 3
TBD -
Crvena zvezda -
Aarhus -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sabah Baku 4
TNS 1
Vardar 3
KuPS 4
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Sturm Graz -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Quarter-finals
Levski Sofia 3
Univ. Craiova 2
Omonia 1
Kairat Almaty 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun 3
Din. Zagreb 4
Klaksvik 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 3
Lincoln Red Imps 0
Iberia 1999 1
Slovan Bratislava 3
Ararat-Armenia 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
KF Egnatia 5
Celje 6
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
H. Beer Sheva 3
Larne 0
Crvena zvezda 9
Aarhus 6
Lech Poznan 5
Sabah Baku 3
KuPS 0
Fenerbahce 2
Gornik Zabrze 1
Sturm Graz 6
Hearts 0
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Semi-finals
Levski Sofia 2
Kairat Almaty 0
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Din. Zagreb 7
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 1
Slovan Bratislava 4
Ararat-Armenia 2
Celje 3
H. Beer Sheva 3
Crvena zvezda 0
Aarhus 2
Sabah Baku 5
Fenerbahce 3
Sturm Graz 0
Sparta Prague 2
Lyon 4
Olympiacos Piraeus 1
Nijmegen 2
Royale Union SG 5
Bodo/Glimt 6
Final
Levski Sofia 0
AEK 4
Celtic 4
LASK Linz 5
Din. Zagreb 3
Viking 5
Slovan Bratislava 3
Celje 2
H. Beer Sheva 4
Sabah Baku 6
Fenerbahce 3
Lyon 2
Nijmegen 1
Bodo/Glimt 6
