Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Mengucci P.
Assist: Prandelli M.
25'
25'
Ridley M.
Assist: Doherty R.
32'
32'
D'Addario A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
15%
38%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Larne
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Larne have won more games recently than Tre Fiori.
- 38% — that's where the model lands on Tre Fiori taking it.
- Larne have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Larne, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Larne Clean Sheet 11%
Tre Fiori Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Larne | Tre Fiori |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 1.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 14, 2026 Champions League
Larne vs Tre Fiori
2:1
Jul 7, 2026 Champions League
Tre Fiori vs Larne
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Larne Compare
Top Goalscorer Ridley M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Tre Fiori Compare
Top Goalscorer Mengucci P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Larne 27 / 100
Tre Fiori 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Larne Tre Fiori
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tre Fiori Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Larne went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Larne scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Defensive concern: Tre Fiori conceded in 47% of 30 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Larne VS Tre Fiori
0.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Larne
(Home) 19 Sept
Carrick Rangers
2 : 5 Larne
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0 Cliftonville
12 Sept
Portadown
0 : 2 Larne
08 Sept
Larne
1 : 0 Bangor FC
04 Sept
Larne
2 : 1 Glentoran
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Larne
2 : 0 Cliftonville
08 Sept
Larne
1 : 0 Bangor FC
04 Sept
Larne
2 : 1 Glentoran
27 Aug
Larne
0 : 3 Lincoln Red Imps
04 Aug
Larne
0 : 0 Iberia 1999
Page 1 of 3
Tre Fiori
(Away) 18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3 Virtus
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0 SP Domagnano
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Tre Fiori
04 Sept
SC Faetano
0 : 4 Tre Fiori
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2 SS Pennarossa
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Tre Fiori
04 Sept
SC Faetano
0 : 4 Tre Fiori
13 Aug
Drita
5 : 0 Tre Fiori
14 Jul
Larne
2 : 1 Tre Fiori
19 Apr
SC Faetano
0 : 1 Tre Fiori
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Borac Banja Luka 1
Levski Sofia 5
ML Vitebsk 1
Univ. Craiova 5
Omonia -
TBD -
Kairat Almaty 4
Sutjeska 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb -
Klaksvik 4
Bissen 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Drita 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby -
TBD -
Lincoln Red Imps 4
Inter Escaldes 2
Flora 4
Iberia 1999 5
TBD -
Slovan Bratislava -
Ararat-Armenia 4
Riga FC 3
Floriana 3
Shamrock Rovers 5
Petrocub Hincesti 2
KF Egnatia 7
TBD -
Celje -
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Gyor 2
TBD -
H. Beer Sheva -
Tre Fiori 1
Larne 3
TBD -
Crvena zvezda -
Aarhus -
TBD -
TBD -
Lech Poznan -
Sabah Baku 4
TNS 1
Vardar 3
KuPS 4
Fenerbahce -
TBD -
TBD -
Gornik Zabrze -
Sturm Graz -
TBD -
TBD -
Hearts -
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Quarter-finals
Levski Sofia 3
Univ. Craiova 2
Omonia 1
Kairat Almaty 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Thun 3
Din. Zagreb 4
Klaksvik 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 3
Lincoln Red Imps 0
Iberia 1999 1
Slovan Bratislava 3
Ararat-Armenia 3
Shamrock Rovers 2
KF Egnatia 5
Celje 6
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
H. Beer Sheva 3
Larne 0
Crvena zvezda 9
Aarhus 6
Lech Poznan 5
Sabah Baku 3
KuPS 0
Fenerbahce 2
Gornik Zabrze 1
Sturm Graz 6
Hearts 0
Sparta Prague -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Olympiacos Piraeus -
TBD -
TBD -
Nijmegen -
Royale Union SG -
TBD -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt -
Semi-finals
Levski Sofia 2
Kairat Almaty 0
TBD -
AEK -
Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
LASK Linz -
Din. Zagreb 7
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
TBD -
Viking -
Mjallby 1
Slovan Bratislava 4
Ararat-Armenia 2
Celje 3
H. Beer Sheva 3
Crvena zvezda 0
Aarhus 2
Sabah Baku 5
Fenerbahce 3
Sturm Graz 0
Sparta Prague 2
Lyon 4
Olympiacos Piraeus 1
Nijmegen 2
Royale Union SG 5
Bodo/Glimt 6
Final
Levski Sofia 0
AEK 4
Celtic 4
LASK Linz 5
Din. Zagreb 3
Viking 5
Slovan Bratislava 3
Celje 2
H. Beer Sheva 4
Sabah Baku 6
Fenerbahce 3
Lyon 2
Nijmegen 1
Bodo/Glimt 6
