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Larne W vs Lisburn Ladies W

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Premiership Women Inver Park
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Shaw C.
90' Event
Sharkey C.
Own Goal
90' Event
Johnston H.

AI Match Summary

Lisburn Ladies W in this Premiership Women matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lisburn Ladies W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Larne W
28%
Draws
50%
Lisburn Ladies W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Lisburn Ladies W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Lisburn Ladies W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Larne W.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Lisburn Ladies W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premiership Women provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Larne W Clean Sheet 10%
Lisburn Ladies W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Larne W Lisburn Ladies W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 5
Draws 4 3
Losses 24 22
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 3.63 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 3, 2026 Premiership Women
Larne W vs Lisburn Ladies W
1:2
May 8, 2026 Premiership Women
Lisburn Ladies W vs Larne W
1:1
Oct 8, 2025 Premiership Women
Larne W vs Lisburn Ladies W
0:2
Sep 5, 2025 Premiership Women
Lisburn Ladies W vs Larne W
0:0
May 16, 2025 Premiership Women
Larne W vs Lisburn Ladies W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Larne W Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnston H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Lisburn Ladies W Compare

Top Goalscorer Shaw C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Larne W 22 / 100
Lisburn Ladies W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Larne W Lisburn Ladies W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Larne W scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Lisburn Ladies W let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Larne W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Lisburn Ladies W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Larne W VS Lisburn Ladies W
0.75 Goals Scored 1
3.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Linfield W751138:716
2Glentoran W651026:516
3Cliftonville W650126:715
4Lisburn Rangers W740314:1612
5Crusaders W832317:2711
6Derry City W821515:237
7Lisburn Ladies W81164:294
8Larne W80265:312