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Las Mandarinas vs Alumni Los Hornos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alumni Los Hornos in this Torneo Promocional Amateur matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alumni Los Hornos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Las Mandarinas
15%
Draws
59%
Alumni Los Hornos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alumni Los Hornos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alumni Los Hornos lately — more wins on the board than Las Mandarinas.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Las Mandarinas Clean Sheet 20%
Alumni Los Hornos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Las Mandarinas Alumni Los Hornos
Matches Played 16 16
Wins 4 5
Draws 3 3
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.69 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Las Mandarinas vs Alumni Los Hornos
1:2
Jun 28, 2026 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Alumni Los Hornos vs Las Mandarinas
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Las Mandarinas 32 / 100
Alumni Los Hornos 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Las Mandarinas Alumni Los Hornos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alumni Los Hornos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 16 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Las Mandarinas scored in 56% of their last 16 games.

Recent resilience: Las Mandarinas stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Las Mandarinas VS Alumni Los Hornos
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Las Mandarinas

(Home)
07 Sept
Las Mandarinas
0 : 1
Belgrano Zarate
29 Aug
Uribelarrea
1 : 0
Las Mandarinas
27 Aug
Las Mandarinas
0 : 2
Ezeiza
22 Aug
Las Mandarinas
1 : 2
Alumni Los Hornos
11 Aug
Everton La Plata
0 : 1
Las Mandarinas
Page 1 of 4

Alumni Los Hornos

(Away)
07 Sept
Alumni Los Hornos
0 : 2
Uribelarrea
22 Aug
Las Mandarinas
1 : 2
Alumni Los Hornos
16 Aug
Alumni Los Hornos
0 : 0
Everton La Plata
12 Aug
Ezeiza
2 : 6
Alumni Los Hornos
09 Aug
Alumni Los Hornos
0 : 2
Barrancas
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Social Atletico Television 14 11 0 3 24:9 33
2 Defensores de Glew 14 10 2 2 37:8 32
3 Deportivo Metalurgico 14 10 2 2 32:10 32
4 Nautico Hacoaj 14 8 2 4 27:11 26
5 Estrella de Berisso 14 4 3 7 18:24 15
6 Atletico Pilar 14 2 3 9 11:24 9
7 Juventud de Bernal 14 2 2 10 10:41 8
8 Provincial 14 2 0 12 9:41 6
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barrancas 16 9 4 3 17:9 31
2 Uribelarrea 16 7 6 3 17:10 27
3 Ezeiza 16 7 5 4 18:17 26
4 Buenos Aires City 16 7 4 5 18:13 25
5 Belgrano Zarate 16 5 7 4 11:10 22
6 Alumni Los Hornos 16 5 3 8 17:20 18
7 Academia Control Orientado 16 5 3 8 15:20 18
8 Las Mandarinas 16 4 3 9 11:18 15
9 Everton La Plata 16 3 5 8 7:14 14
Promotion - Torneo Promocional Amateur (Play Offs)