Sport Picks
Las Palmas C vs CD Marino - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 
Match Events
20'
20'
Pirri
73'
73'
Diaz A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Las Palmas C lately — more wins on the board than CD Marino.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Las Palmas C taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Las Palmas C Clean Sheet 20%
CD Marino Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Las Palmas C | CD Marino |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 14 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas C vs CD Marino
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Las Palmas C
0:1
Feb 26, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas C vs CD Marino
2:1
Oct 16, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
CD Marino vs Las Palmas C
2:0
May 17, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas C vs CD Marino
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Las Palmas C Compare
Top Goalscorer Diaz A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
CD Marino Compare
Top Goalscorer Pirri
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Las Palmas C 36 / 100
CD Marino 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Las Palmas C CD Marino
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Las Palmas C's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Defensive concern: CD Marino conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Las Palmas C stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Las Palmas C VS CD Marino
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Las Palmas C
(Home) 03 Oct
Las Palmas C
1 : 2 Lanzarote
25 Sept
Estrella
1 : 1 Las Palmas C
19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2 Union Sur Yaiza
12 Sept
UD Playas de Sotavento
0 : 2 Las Palmas C
10 May
Las Palmas C
0 : 1 San Miguel
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Las Palmas C
1 : 2 Lanzarote
19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2 Union Sur Yaiza
10 May
Las Palmas C
0 : 1 San Miguel
25 Apr
Las Palmas C
2 : 1 SD Tenisca
22 Apr
Las Palmas C
1 : 0 Panaderia
Page 1 of 3
CD Marino
(Away) 04 Oct
CD Marino
6 : 1 UD Playas de Sotavento
26 Sept
CD Laguna
2 : 2 CD Marino
18 Sept
CD Marino
3 : 1 Real Union Tenerife
13 Sept
CD Marino
1 : 2 Panaderia
08 Aug
Tenerife B
4 : 1 CD Marino
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
CD Laguna
2 : 2 CD Marino
08 Aug
Tenerife B
4 : 1 CD Marino
01 May
Villa Santa Brigida
3 : 0 CD Marino
18 Apr
San Miguel
2 : 0 CD Marino
08 Apr
Tamaraceite
2 : 2 CD Marino
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Paso | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 51:19 | 67 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 49:23 | 66 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 51:31 | 63 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 56:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:33 | 55 |
| 6 | Las Palmas C | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 58:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Tenerife C | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:35 | 50 |
| 9 | Lanzarote | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:36 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Union Tenerife | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:43 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Marino | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 44:40 | 39 |
| 13 | Union Sur Yaiza | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:43 | 38 |
| 14 | San Bartolome | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30:55 | 36 |
| 15 | Arucas | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 31:47 | 33 |
| 16 | Herbania | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39:58 | 32 |
| 17 | SD Tenisca | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:68 | 25 |
| 18 | Telde | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 30:71 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
