Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12

UD San Fernando

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Las Palmas C play UD San Fernando in the Tercera RFEF - Group 12. It looks like a close match. Recently, Las Palmas C averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. UD San Fernando averaged 1.33 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. In past meetings, Las Palmas C won 0, UD San Fernando won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 7, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for Las Palmas C and 1.13 for UD San Fernando. This points to a UD San Fernando double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Las Palmas C

32%

Draws

36%

UD San Fernando

Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: UD San Fernando

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Las Palmas C picked up more points recently compared to UD San Fernando.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 42%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

Las Palmas C Clean Sheet 21%

UD San Fernando Clean Sheet 18%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Las Palmas C	UD San Fernando
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	16
Draws	9	8
Losses	7	6
Goals Scored	1.8	1.33
Goals Conceded	1.23	0.7
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

Las Palmas C vs UD San Fernando

Possession: 56% - 40% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Sep 28, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

UD San Fernando vs Las Palmas C

Possession: 50% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Apr 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

UD San Fernando vs Las Palmas C

Possession: 59% - 43% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Oct 24, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

Las Palmas C vs UD San Fernando

Possession: 54% - 54% Cards: 3 - 2

1:3

May 10, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

UD San Fernando vs Las Palmas C

Possession: 55% - 40% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Las Palmas C Compare

Top Goalscorer Delgado D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

UD San Fernando Compare

Top Goalscorer Ribalta C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Edu Salles

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Las Palmas C 33 / 100

UD San Fernando 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Las Palmas C UD San Fernando

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: UD San Fernando or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +16.8%

2.78

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Las Palmas C attacking → ← attacking UD San Fernando

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Las Palmas C scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

UD San Fernando let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Las Palmas C went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

UD San Fernando lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 56

1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Paso	34	18	13	3	51:19	67
2	UD San Fernando	34	19	9	6	49:23	66
3	Mensajero	34	18	9	7	51:31	63
4	Tamaraceite	34	19	6	9	56:36	63
5	Panaderia	34	15	10	9	47:33	55
6	Las Palmas C	34	15	9	10	58:42	54
7	Tenerife C	34	14	10	10	49:46	52
8	Villa Santa Brigida	34	15	5	14	42:35	50
9	Lanzarote	34	12	12	10	45:36	48
10	Real Union Tenerife	34	12	9	13	34:32	45
11	San Miguel	34	10	9	15	37:43	39
12	CD Marino	34	8	15	11	44:40	39
13	Union Sur Yaiza	34	10	8	16	33:43	38
14	San Bartolome	34	8	12	14	30:55	36
15	Arucas	34	7	12	15	31:47	33
16	Herbania	34	7	11	16	39:58	32
17	SD Tenisca	34	6	7	21	32:68	25
18	Telde	34	5	10	19	30:71	25