Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Las Palmas vs Burgos CF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Fuster M.
34'
Loiodice E.
37' Event
Jese
Assist: Fuster M.

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga2 game between Las Palmas and Burgos CF finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burgos CF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Las Palmas
30%
Draws
47%
Burgos CF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Burgos CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Burgos CF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular LaLiga2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Las Palmas Clean Sheet 16%
Burgos CF Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Las Palmas Burgos CF
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 16
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.48 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 LaLiga2
Las Palmas vs Burgos CF
1:2
Feb 7, 2026 LaLiga2
Las Palmas vs Burgos CF
0:0
Sep 7, 2025 LaLiga2
Burgos CF vs Las Palmas
0:0
Feb 6, 2023 LaLiga2
Burgos CF vs Las Palmas
0:0
Nov 1, 2022 LaLiga2
Las Palmas vs Burgos CF
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Las Palmas Compare

Top Goalscorer Jese
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Burgos CF Compare

Top Goalscorer Fores A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez Ballesteros D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Las Palmas 31 / 100
Burgos CF 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Las Palmas Burgos CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burgos CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Las Palmas scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Las Palmas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Burgos CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Las Palmas VS Burgos CF
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Las Palmas

(Home)
04 Oct
Las Palmas
2 : 2
Valladolid
27 Sept
Eibar
3 : 2
Las Palmas
20 Sept
Las Palmas
1 : 2
Burgos CF
12 Sept
Cadiz
0 : 1
Las Palmas
04 Sept
Las Palmas
0 : 0
Leganes
Page 1 of 6

Burgos CF

(Away)
03 Oct
Almeria
2 : 1
Burgos CF
27 Sept
Burgos CF
1 : 0
Eldense
20 Sept
Las Palmas
1 : 2
Burgos CF
11 Sept
Burgos CF
3 : 1
AD Ceuta
06 Sept
Real Oviedo
0 : 0
Burgos CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eibar 8 7 0 1 18:7 21
2 Castellon 8 6 2 0 15:3 20
3 Almeria 8 6 0 2 13:5 18
4 Girona 8 4 2 2 14:8 14
5 Mallorca 8 4 2 2 8:3 14
6 Burgos CF 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
7 Sabadell 8 3 4 1 8:6 13
8 Gijon 8 4 1 3 8:8 13
9 Granada CF 8 3 2 3 13:13 11
10 Real Oviedo 8 3 2 3 8:8 11
11 Las Palmas 8 3 2 3 12:13 11
12 Tenerife 8 3 2 3 10:12 11
13 Leganes 8 3 2 3 6:11 11
14 Valladolid 8 2 3 3 8:11 9
15 Cordoba 8 3 0 5 13:18 9
16 Real Sociedad B 8 2 2 4 11:13 8
17 Eldense 8 2 2 4 8:10 8
18 Celta Vigo B 8 2 2 4 10:14 8
19 Cadiz 8 1 4 3 11:10 7
20 FC Andorra 8 2 1 5 12:15 7
21 AD Ceuta 8 1 2 5 7:18 5
22 Albacete 8 0 1 7 5:15 1
Promotion - LaLiga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs)