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Las Palmas vs Deportivo Ascension

Peru Peru

Copa Peru 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Las Palmas advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Las Palmas
28%
Draws
22%
Deportivo Ascension
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Las Palmas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Las Palmas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Las Palmas are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Las Palmas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Las Palmas, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Las Palmas Clean Sheet 17%
Deportivo Ascension Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Las Palmas Deportivo Ascension
Matches Played 10 9
Wins 5 4
Draws 1 1
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2018 Copa Peru
Deportivo Ascension vs Las Palmas
1:0
Nov 11, 2018 Copa Peru
Las Palmas vs Deportivo Ascension
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Las Palmas 48 / 100
Deportivo Ascension 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Las Palmas Deportivo Ascension

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Las Palmas's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 10 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Deportivo Ascension registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Deportivo Ascension let in goals in 56% of their last 9 matches.

Scoring Trends

Las Palmas VS Deportivo Ascension
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Las Palmas

(Home)
03 Nov
Llacuabamba
2 : 2
Las Palmas
27 Oct
Las Palmas
0 : 1
Llacuabamba
18 Nov
Deportivo Ascension
1 : 0
Las Palmas
11 Nov
Las Palmas
3 : 2
Deportivo Ascension
04 Nov
Huracan
2 : 1
Las Palmas
Page 1 of 2

Deportivo Ascension

(Away)
02 Dec
Pirata
6 : 0
Deportivo Ascension
28 Nov
Santos FC
3 : 1
Deportivo Ascension
24 Nov
Alianza Huanuco
0 : 1
Deportivo Ascension
18 Nov
Deportivo Ascension
1 : 0
Las Palmas
11 Nov
Las Palmas
3 : 2
Deportivo Ascension
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Deportivo Ascension6
Credicoop San Roman1
Huracan2
Las Palmas4
Atletico Torino3
Sport Marino2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)3
Alianza Huanuco3
Pirata4
Defensor Laure Sur4
Deportivo Garcilaso3
Credicoop San Cristobal3
Santos FC5
Union Alfonso Ugarte (Tecna)3
FC Retamoso2
Social Venus de Huacho3
Final
Deportivo Ascension3
Las Palmas3
Atletico Torino2
Alianza Huanuco3
Pirata5
Credicoop San Cristobal4
Santos FC2
Social Venus de Huacho1