Sport Picks

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Las Palmas vs Leganes

Spain Spain

LaLiga2 2025/2026 Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas
Las Palmas Logo

Las Palmas

2 - 0
FT
Leganes Logo

Leganes

Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Pedrola E.
34'
Fuster M.
59'
Sub
Pedrola E. In: Viti
Out: Pedrola E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Las Palmas in this LaLiga2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Las Palmas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Las Palmas
15%
Draws
37%
Leganes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Las Palmas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Las Palmas lately — more wins on the board than Leganes.
  • Win probability leans Las Palmas's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Las Palmas Clean Sheet 20%
Leganes Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Las Palmas Leganes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.41 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 LaLiga2
Las Palmas vs Leganes
2:0
Sep 20, 2025 LaLiga2
Leganes vs Las Palmas
0:1
May 18, 2025 LaLiga
Las Palmas vs Leganes
0:1
Aug 25, 2024 LaLiga
Leganes vs Las Palmas
2:1
Feb 18, 2023 LaLiga2
Leganes vs Las Palmas
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Las Palmas Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedrola E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fuster M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Leganes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Las Palmas 42 / 100
Leganes 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Las Palmas Leganes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Las Palmas scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Leganes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Las Palmas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Las Palmas VS Leganes
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Las Palmas

(Home)
16 Aug
Las Palmas
2 : 1
Albacete
08 Aug
Cadiz
1 : 3
Las Palmas
31 Jul
Las Palmas
0 : 1
Neom SC
28 Jul
Las Palmas
3 : 2
Leiria
25 Jul
Las Palmas
1 : 2
Al Ittihad
Page 1 of 6

Leganes

(Away)
16 Aug
Girona
1 : 1
Leganes
08 Aug
Leganes
0 : 1
Tenerife
07 Aug
Leganes
3 : 0
AD Merida
04 Aug
Leganes
2 : 1
Al Rayyan
01 Aug
Swansea
1 : 0
Leganes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing Santander 42 25 7 10 90:61 82
2 Dep. A Coruna 42 22 11 9 65:44 77
3 Almeria 42 22 8 12 81:63 74
4 Malaga 42 21 10 11 75:52 73
5 Las Palmas 42 20 13 9 57:40 73
6 Castellon 42 20 12 10 70:51 72
7 Burgos CF 42 20 12 10 48:33 72
8 Eibar 42 19 10 13 52:40 67
9 Cordoba 42 17 10 15 57:61 61
10 Gijon 42 18 7 17 60:54 61
11 AD Ceuta 42 17 10 15 51:63 61
12 Albacete 42 16 11 15 56:55 59
13 FC Andorra 42 16 10 16 62:54 58
14 Granada CF 42 12 12 18 50:56 48
15 Real Sociedad B 42 12 11 19 52:61 47
16 Leganes 42 11 13 18 43:51 46
17 Valladolid 42 12 10 20 44:57 46
18 Cadiz 42 11 10 21 41:61 43
19 Mirandes 42 10 10 22 47:69 40
20 Huesca 42 9 11 22 41:63 38
21 Leonesa 42 9 10 23 39:68 37
22 Zaragoza 42 8 12 22 35:59 36
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