Sport Picks
Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive
USA
USL Championship Cashman Field, Las Vegas, NV 
Match Events
20'
20'
Mendez A.
Assist: Rubin R.
43'
43'
Mines B.
45'
45'
Rodriguez J.
Assist: Antonoglou T.
AI Match Summary
El Paso Locomotive in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored El Paso Locomotive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- El Paso Locomotive have won more games recently than Las Vegas Lights.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and El Paso Locomotive have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Las Vegas Lights Clean Sheet 20%
El Paso Locomotive Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Las Vegas Lights | El Paso Locomotive |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 5, 2026 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive
1:2
Apr 5, 2026 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights
3:2
Aug 3, 2025 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights
6:0
May 25, 2025 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs El Paso Locomotive
1:2
Jul 13, 2024 USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive vs Las Vegas Lights
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Las Vegas Lights Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
El Paso Locomotive Compare
Top Goalscorer Mendez A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Quezada A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Las Vegas Lights 32 / 100
El Paso Locomotive 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Las Vegas Lights El Paso Locomotive
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Las Vegas Lights scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
El Paso Locomotive has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Las Vegas Lights remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Las Vegas Lights VS El Paso Locomotive
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Las Vegas Lights
(Home) 25 Jul
Detroit City
0 : 1 Las Vegas Lights
19 Jul
San Antonio FC
1 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
12 Jul
Monterey Bay
2 : 3 Las Vegas Lights
05 Jul
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2 El Paso Locomotive
21 Jun
Las Vegas Lights
2 : 3 Orange County SC
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2 El Paso Locomotive
21 Jun
Las Vegas Lights
2 : 3 Orange County SC
07 Jun
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 2 Oakland Roots
31 May
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 0 FC Tulsa
24 May
Las Vegas Lights
2 : 0 Colorado Springs
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El Paso Locomotive
(Away) 26 Jul
El Paso Locomotive
2 : 0 Sporting Jax
19 Jul
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 El Paso Locomotive
12 Jul
El Paso Locomotive
0 : 2 New Mexico
05 Jul
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2 El Paso Locomotive
21 Jun
Monterey Bay
1 : 0 El Paso Locomotive
Page 1 of 6
19 Jul
FC Tulsa
1 : 0 El Paso Locomotive
05 Jul
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2 El Paso Locomotive
21 Jun
Monterey Bay
1 : 0 El Paso Locomotive
10 Jun
Detroit City
1 : 1 El Paso Locomotive
07 Jun
Colorado Springs
2 : 1 El Paso Locomotive
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 28:15 | 35 |
| 2 | Charleston | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 32:24 | 27 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:15 | 27 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | 24 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 19:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Rhode Island | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:17 | 21 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 22:29 | 21 |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 12:14 | 20 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 16 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 19:29 | 15 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:27 | 13 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 23:46 | 8 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 27:19 | 31 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 22:19 | 28 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 25 |
| 4 | New Mexico | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 24 |
| 5 | Sacramento Republic | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:15 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Tulsa | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Lexington | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:20 | 22 |
| 8 | El Paso Locomotive | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 22 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24:26 | 21 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 23:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 25:27 | 21 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 17:27 | 15 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
