Sport Picks
Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Cashman Field, Las Vegas, NV 
Match Events
2'
2'
Antonoglou T.
Assist: Sessock N.
29'
29'
Studenhofft G.
42'
42'
Ofeimu B.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Las Vegas Lights
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Las Vegas Lights lately — more wins on the board than Phoenix Rising.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Las Vegas Lights taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Las Vegas Lights Clean Sheet 20%
Phoenix Rising Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Las Vegas Lights | Phoenix Rising |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising
1:1
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights
0:1
Sep 6, 2025 USL Championship
Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights
0:0
May 29, 2025 USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising
0:1
Sep 29, 2024 USL Championship
Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Las Vegas Lights Compare
Top Goalscorer Antonoglou T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Phoenix Rising Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Las Vegas Lights 76 / 100
Phoenix Rising 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Las Vegas Lights Phoenix Rising
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Las Vegas Lights Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Phoenix Rising has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Attacking prowess: Las Vegas Lights scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Las Vegas Lights stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Away concern: Phoenix Rising has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Las Vegas Lights VS Phoenix Rising
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Las Vegas Lights
(Home) 04 Oct
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 0 San Antonio FC
01 Oct
Sacramento Republic
3 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
20 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 1 Hartford Athletic
13 Sept
Orange County SC
0 : 2 Las Vegas Lights
06 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2 New Mexico
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 0 San Antonio FC
20 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 1 Hartford Athletic
06 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 2 New Mexico
30 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 2 Charleston
16 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
2 : 1 Brooklyn FC
Page 1 of 4
Phoenix Rising
(Away) 04 Oct
New Mexico
2 : 1 Phoenix Rising
27 Sept
Oakland Roots
3 : 0 Phoenix Rising
20 Sept
Phoenix Rising
1 : 3 El Paso Locomotive
13 Sept
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1 FC Tulsa
06 Sept
Monterey Bay
1 : 1 Phoenix Rising
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
New Mexico
2 : 1 Phoenix Rising
27 Sept
Oakland Roots
3 : 0 Phoenix Rising
06 Sept
Monterey Bay
1 : 1 Phoenix Rising
23 Aug
Sacramento Republic
2 : 2 Phoenix Rising
08 Aug
Lexington
1 : 0 Phoenix Rising
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 4 | Lexington | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 49:33 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32:25 | 42 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
