Sport Picks

Stadium Background

LASK Linz vs Rapid Vienna

Austria Austria

Bundesliga 2025/2026 Raiffeisen Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

LASK Linz play Rapid Vienna in the Bundesliga 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, LASK Linz averaged 2.46 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Rapid Vienna averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, LASK Linz won 3, Rapid Vienna won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 4, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.56 for LASK Linz and 1.13 for Rapid Vienna. This points to a LASK Linz double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
LASK Linz
17%
Draws
31%
Rapid Vienna
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: LASK Linz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • LASK Linz picked up more points recently compared to Rapid Vienna.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.56 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
LASK Linz Clean Sheet 21%
Rapid Vienna Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LASK Linz Rapid Vienna
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 18 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 2.46 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Bundesliga
LASK Linz vs Rapid Vienna
3:1
Mar 22, 2026 Bundesliga
Rapid Vienna vs LASK Linz
4:2
Nov 30, 2025 Bundesliga
LASK Linz vs Rapid Vienna
3:0
Oct 19, 2025 Bundesliga
Rapid Vienna vs LASK Linz
0:2
Jun 1, 2025 Bundesliga
Rapid Vienna vs LASK Linz
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LASK Linz Compare

Top Goalscorer Horvath S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Usor M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81

Rapid Vienna Compare

Top Goalscorer Antiste J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LASK Linz 51 / 100
Rapid Vienna 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LASK Linz Rapid Vienna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: LASK Linz or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

LASK Linz attacking → ← attacking Rapid Vienna

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

LASK Linz scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Rapid Vienna let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

LASK Linz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Rapid Vienna lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

60 Points in last 5 41
3.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1LASK Linz32177856:4239
2Sturm Graz32168851:3537
3Salzburg321391056:4129
4Austria Vienna321451345:5029
5Rapid Vienna321281236:4127
6Hartberg3210121040:4025