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Latina vs Casarano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Domenico Francioni, Latina
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Logoluso G. In: Cajazzo I.
Out: Logoluso G.
52' Event
Grandolfo F.
62'
Tomaselli G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 game between Latina and Casarano finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Casarano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Latina
30%
Draws
41%
Casarano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Casarano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Casarano come out ahead of Latina on wins alone.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Latina Clean Sheet 20%
Casarano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Latina Casarano
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.22 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Latina vs Casarano
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Casarano vs Latina
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Latina Compare

Top Goalscorer Lipani J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Casarano Compare

Top Goalscorer Grandolfo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Latina 36 / 100
Casarano 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Latina Casarano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Casarano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Latina scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Defensive concern: Casarano conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Latina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Latina VS Casarano
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Latina

(Home)
04 Oct
Latina
1 : 1
Ostiamare
20 Sept
Reggiana
1 : 0
Latina
16 Sept
Latina
1 : 1
Guidonia 1937
12 Sept
Gubbio
3 : 1
Latina
09 Sept
Grosseto
1 : 4
Latina
Page 1 of 6

Casarano

(Away)
03 Oct
Sorrento
2 : 0
Casarano
27 Sept
Casarano
0 : 1
Monopoli
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Casarano
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0
Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Casarano
3 : 1
Barletta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)