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Latina vs Renate

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 Stadio Domenico Francioni, Latina
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Dutu E.
28'
Vassallo F.
30'
Bonetti A.

AI Match Summary

Latina in this Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Latina
20%
Draws
40%
Renate
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Renate lately — more wins on the board than Latina.
  • Latina are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Renate arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Latina, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Latina Clean Sheet 68%
Renate Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Latina Renate
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Latina vs Renate
2:1
Jan 14, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Renate vs Latina
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Latina Compare

Top Goalscorer Dutu E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Parigi G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Renate Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonetti A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Latina 59 / 100
Renate 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Latina Renate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Latina found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Renate's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Latina went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Latina VS Renate
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Latina

(Home)
26 Apr
Crotone
2 : 5
Latina
19 Apr
Latina
2 : 0
Casertana
12 Apr
Latina
1 : 2
Casarano
06 Apr
Audace Cerignola
1 : 1
Latina
01 Apr
Latina
1 : 0
Potenza
Page 1 of 7

Renate

(Away)
13 May
Renate
0 : 3
Casarano
10 May
Casarano
0 : 2
Renate
25 Apr
Renate
2 : 1
Pro Patria
19 Apr
Trento
3 : 3
Renate
13 Apr
Renate
2 : 1
Pro Vercelli
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ternana -
TBD -
Campobasso 3
Casertana 0
Giugliano 4
Pianese 1
Benevento 1
Guidonia 1937 0
Sambenedettese 2
Vis Pesaro 0
Pineto 2
Ascoli 3
Carpi 1
Trento 0
Union Brescia 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Monopoli 1
Cosenza 0
Potenza 1
Cavese 0
Audace Cerignola -
TBD -
Casarano 1
Altamura 0
Salernitana 1
Sorrento 2
Picerno 1
Trapani 2
Crotone 1
Catania 0
Foggia 2
Siracusa 1
Rimini -
TBD -
Ravenna 2
Cittadella 0
Virtus Verona 2
Forli FC 3
Arzignano 2
Triestina 1
Lecco 0
Ospitaletto 1
Lumezzane 1
Inter U23 2
Pergolettese 1
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Novara 0
Vicenza -
TBD -
AlbinoLeffe 0
Pro Vercelli 3
Giana Erminio 1
Atalanta U23 4
Pro Patria 1
Alcione Milano 2
Arezzo 2
Bra 1
Sassari Torres 2
Livorno 1
Latina 1
Gubbio 0
Perugia 1
US Pontedera 0
1/16-finals
Ternana 1
Campobasso 0
Giugliano 2
Benevento 0
Sambenedettese 2
Ascoli 1
Carpi 0
Union Brescia 1
Monopoli 0
Potenza 1
Audace Cerignola 2
Casarano 1
Sorrento 2
Trapani 1
Crotone 1
Foggia 0
Rimini 0
Ravenna 3
Forli FC 0
Arzignano 1
Ospitaletto 1
Inter U23 2
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Vicenza 0
Pro Vercelli 1
Atalanta U23 2
Alcione Milano 1
Arezzo 2
Sassari Torres 0
Latina 2
Perugia 1
1/8-finals
Ternana 3
Giugliano 1
Sambenedettese 1
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 4
Audace Cerignola 2
Sorrento 1
Crotone 3
Ravenna 3
Arzignano 0
Inter U23 2
Renate 3
Pro Vercelli 5
Atalanta U23 1
Arezzo 0
Latina 1
Quarter-finals
Ternana 4
Union Brescia 1
Potenza 3
Crotone 1
Ravenna 1
Renate 2
Pro Vercelli 0
Latina 1
Semi-finals
Ternana 1
Potenza 2
Renate 2
Latina 3
Final
Potenza 3
Latina 2