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Latina vs Sorrento

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Domenico Francioni, Latina
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Lipani J.
46'
Sub
Paglino S. In: Milan M.
Out: Paglino S.
59'
De Ciancio R.

AI Match Summary

Latina in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Latina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Latina
20%
Draws
51%
Sorrento
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sorrento

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sorrento lately — more wins on the board than Latina.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Latina Clean Sheet 18%
Sorrento Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Latina Sorrento
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 3
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.22 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Latina vs Sorrento
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Latina
2:2
Mar 22, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Latina
1:1
Nov 9, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Latina vs Sorrento
2:0
Apr 6, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Sorrento vs Latina
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Latina Compare

Top Goalscorer Lipani J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Parigi G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Sorrento Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Latina 32 / 100
Sorrento 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Latina Sorrento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sorrento Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Latina scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Sorrento has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Latina stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Latina VS Sorrento
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Latina

(Home)
04 Oct
Latina
1 : 1
Ostiamare
20 Sept
Reggiana
1 : 0
Latina
16 Sept
Latina
1 : 1
Guidonia 1937
12 Sept
Gubbio
3 : 1
Latina
09 Sept
Grosseto
1 : 4
Latina
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Sorrento

(Away)
03 Oct
Sorrento
2 : 0
Casarano
27 Sept
Foggia
2 : 0
Sorrento
19 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 2
Bari
15 Sept
Cavese
2 : 3
Sorrento
12 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0
Picerno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benevento 38 25 7 6 74:28 82
2 Catania 38 19 13 6 54:25 70
3 Salernitana 38 20 9 9 50:42 69
4 Cosenza 38 19 10 9 58:40 67
5 Casertana 38 19 9 10 55:44 66
6 Crotone 38 18 7 13 59:40 61
7 Monopoli 38 15 11 12 39:41 56
8 Casarano 38 16 8 14 56:57 56
9 Audace Cerignola 38 14 12 12 50:54 54
10 Potenza 38 12 13 13 54:56 49
11 Atalanta U23 38 11 12 15 53:50 45
12 Altamura 38 11 12 15 32:49 45
13 Latina 38 10 12 16 35:44 42
14 Cavese 38 9 15 14 36:42 42
15 Picerno 38 9 13 16 43:55 40
16 Sorrento 38 9 12 17 39:55 39
17 Giugliano 38 9 10 19 35:52 37
18 Foggia 38 6 9 23 28:60 27
19 Siracusa 38 9 10 19 48:57 26
20 Trapani 38 13 10 15 47:54 24
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)