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Latte Dolce vs Montespaccato

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Luiu E.
25' Event
Vitelli R.
30' Event
Pinna R.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 game between Latte Dolce and Montespaccato finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Latte Dolce
20%
Draws
7%
Montespaccato
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Latte Dolce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Latte Dolce come out ahead of Montespaccato on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Latte Dolce's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Latte Dolce Clean Sheet 19%
Montespaccato Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Latte Dolce Montespaccato
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 5 12
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Montespaccato vs Latte Dolce
2:3
Dec 6, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Latte Dolce vs Montespaccato
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Latte Dolce Compare

Top Goalscorer Luiu E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pinna R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Montespaccato Compare

Top Goalscorer Vitelli R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Franco D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Latte Dolce 85 / 100
Montespaccato 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Latte Dolce Montespaccato

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montespaccato's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Latte Dolce's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Latte Dolce went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Latte Dolce VS Montespaccato
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Latte Dolce

(Home)
08 Aug
Latte Dolce
0 : 2
Sassari Torres
03 May
Budoni Calcio
0 : 0
Latte Dolce
26 Apr
Latte Dolce
4 : 2
Cassino
19 Apr
Montespaccato
2 : 3
Latte Dolce
12 Apr
Latte Dolce
4 : 0
Palmese 1914
Page 1 of 6

Montespaccato

(Away)
03 May
Montespaccato
2 : 4
Flaminia
26 Apr
Ischia
1 : 0
Montespaccato
19 Apr
Montespaccato
2 : 3
Latte Dolce
12 Apr
Valmontone
3 : 2
Montespaccato
02 Apr
Montespaccato
1 : 1
Atl. Lodigiani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scafatese 34 27 6 1 75:23 87
2 Trastevere Calcio 34 17 9 8 64:46 60
3 Monastir 34 15 8 11 51:44 53
4 Flaminia 34 13 12 9 53:37 51
5 Albalonga 34 14 8 12 55:55 50
6 Latte Dolce 34 14 6 14 49:49 48
7 Valmontone 34 14 6 14 49:50 48
8 Nocerina 34 11 14 9 36:33 47
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 10 12 47:51 46
10 Budoni Calcio 34 12 9 13 33:32 45
11 Palmese 1914 34 11 12 11 41:43 45
12 Atl. Lodigiani 34 11 11 12 43:40 44
13 Ischia 34 12 7 15 36:52 43
14 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 11 13 38:43 41
15 Real Monterotondo 34 10 6 18 39:58 36
16 Olbia 34 8 14 12 39:50 36
17 Montespaccato 34 6 12 16 47:58 30
18 Cassino 34 4 9 21 24:55 21
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2025/2026 (Play Out)