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Latte Dolce vs Nuova Florida - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2023/2024
Sun, May 12, 2024
3 - 2
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Moreso O.
28' Event
Limongelli Y.
44' Event
Scognamillo L.

AI Match Summary

Latte Dolce in this Serie D - Group G 2023/2024 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Latte Dolce
30%
Draws
23%
Nuova Florida
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Latte Dolce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Latte Dolce have won more games recently than Nuova Florida.
  • Latte Dolce are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Latte Dolce have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Latte Dolce, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Latte Dolce Clean Sheet 68%
Nuova Florida Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Latte Dolce Nuova Florida
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.44 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Latte Dolce vs Nuova Florida
3:2
Apr 27, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Latte Dolce vs Nuova Florida
2:2
Dec 16, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Nuova Florida vs Latte Dolce
3:2
May 22, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Latte Dolce vs Nuova Florida
2:1
Feb 16, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Nuova Florida vs Latte Dolce
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Latte Dolce Compare

Top Goalscorer Scognamillo L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cabeccia M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Nuova Florida Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreso O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Limongelli Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Latte Dolce 86 / 100
Nuova Florida 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Latte Dolce Nuova Florida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Latte Dolce Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Latte Dolce scored in 74% of their last 39 outings.

Nuova Florida's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Latte Dolce has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Latte Dolce VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Latte Dolce

(Home)
07 Oct
Latte Dolce
3 : 0
Sarrabus Ogliastra
04 Oct
Latte Dolce
1 : 0
Sarrabus Ogliastra
27 Sept
Aranova
1 : 1
Latte Dolce
20 Sept
Latte Dolce
1 : 2
Citta di Anagni
16 Sept
Atl. Lodigiani
2 : 2
Latte Dolce
Page 1 of 8

Nuova Florida

(Away)
12 May
Latte Dolce
3 : 2
Nuova Florida
05 May
Nuova Florida
0 : 3
Romana
27 Apr
Latte Dolce
2 : 2
Nuova Florida
21 Apr
Nuova Florida
3 : 1
Anzio Calcio 1924
14 Apr
Cassino
2 : 0
Nuova Florida
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Latte Dolce 3
Nuova Florida 2
Anzio Calcio 1924 4
San Felice Gladiator 0