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Latvia U21 vs Malta U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Daugavas stadions, Riga
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Klavinskis R.
46'
Sub
Scicluna K. In: Cross N.
Out: Scicluna K.
46'
Sub
Bridgman A. In: Borg B.
Out: Bridgman A.

AI Match Summary

Latvia U21 in this Euro U21 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Latvia U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Latvia U21
20%
Draws
0%
Malta U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Latvia U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Latvia U21 have won more games recently than Malta U21.
  • Model gives Latvia U21 a 80% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Latvia U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Malta U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Latvia U21 Malta U21
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 11 4
Draws 7 2
Losses 14 27
Goals Scored 1.09 0.52
Goals Conceded 1.53 3.06
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Euro U21
Latvia U21 vs Malta U21
2:0
Nov 18, 2025 Euro U21
Malta U21 vs Latvia U21
0:1
Oct 7, 2016 Euro U21
Malta U21 vs Latvia U21
1:0
Jun 16, 2015 Euro U21
Latvia U21 vs Malta U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Latvia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Romanovs K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lizunovs V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Malta U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Latvia U21 85 / 100
Malta U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Latvia U21 Malta U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Latvia U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Malta U21 conceded in 94% of 33 recent games.

Malta U21 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

Latvia U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Latvia U21 VS Malta U21
0.63 Goals Scored 0.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 3.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Latvia U21

(Home)
06 Oct
Latvia U21
2 : 0
Malta U21
01 Oct
Greece U21
4 : 2
Latvia U21
26 Sept
Latvia U21
0 : 4
Germany U21
09 Jun
Lithuania U21
2 : 2
Latvia U21
05 Jun
Latvia U21
1 : 1
Estonia U21
Page 1 of 7

Malta U21

(Away)
06 Oct
Latvia U21
2 : 0
Malta U21
30 Sept
Malta U21
1 : 4
Germany U21
26 Sept
Malta U21
0 : 4
Northern Ireland U21
04 Jun
Moldova U21
3 : 0
Malta U21
31 Mar
Georgia U21
4 : 1
Malta U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 10 9 0 1 47:5 27
2 Finland U21 10 7 2 1 34:7 23
3 Romania U21 10 5 1 4 12:13 16
4 Kosovo U21 10 4 3 3 21:11 15
5 Cyprus U21 10 2 0 8 8:29 6
6 San Marino U21 10 0 0 10 0:57 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 10 8 1 1 35:2 25
2 Czech Republic U21 10 5 3 2 17:6 18
3 Scotland U21 10 5 2 3 25:12 17
4 Bulgaria U21 10 4 2 4 9:10 14
5 Azerbaijan U21 10 2 4 4 11:24 10
6 Gibraltar U21 10 0 0 10 1:44 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 10 8 2 0 34:8 26
2 Iceland U21 10 5 3 2 22:11 18
3 Switzerland U21 10 5 2 3 17:17 17
4 Faroe Islands U21 10 4 0 6 8:17 12
5 Luxembourg U21 10 3 1 6 13:22 10
6 Estonia U21 10 0 2 8 9:28 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 10 7 2 1 23:7 23
2 Ireland U21 10 6 2 2 16:14 20
3 Slovakia U21 10 6 2 2 17:13 20
4 Moldova U21 10 2 3 5 12:19 9
5 Andorra U21 10 2 2 6 7:12 8
6 Kazakhstan U21 10 1 1 8 11:21 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U21 10 9 0 1 32:7 27
2 Poland U21 10 9 0 1 28:8 27
3 Sweden U21 10 4 1 5 12:22 13
4 Montenegro U21 10 3 3 4 13:16 12
5 North Macedonia U21 10 2 1 7 8:20 7
6 Armenia U21 10 0 1 9 5:25 1
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 10 9 0 1 32:5 27
2 Greece U21 10 9 0 1 29:6 27
3 Northern Ireland U21 10 4 2 4 13:13 14
4 Georgia U21 10 2 4 4 13:15 10
5 Latvia U21 10 2 2 6 8:20 8
6 Malta U21 10 0 0 10 2:38 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 8 5 2 1 19:6 17
2 Netherlands U21 8 3 3 2 15:10 12
3 Israel U21 8 2 5 1 10:10 11
4 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 8 1 4 3 3:11 7
5 Slovenia U21 8 1 2 5 7:17 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 8 6 1 1 15:3 19
2 Turkey U21 8 3 4 1 9:8 13
3 Ukraine U21 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
4 Hungary U21 8 1 4 3 9:13 7
5 Lithuania U21 8 0 2 6 4:17 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 8 5 2 1 13:2 17
2 Denmark U21 8 4 3 1 15:6 15
3 Austria U21 8 4 2 2 15:9 14
4 Wales U21 8 2 0 6 7:28 6
5 Belarus U21 8 1 1 6 7:12 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)