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Latvia W vs Slovakia W

World World

World Cup Women Daugavas stadions, Riga
Latvia W Logo

Latvia W

1 - 2
FT
Slovakia W Logo

Slovakia W

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Miksone K.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Kosikova K. In: Lemesova D.
Out: Kosikova K.
60'
Sub
Upite U. In: Senberga S.
Out: Upite U.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Latvia W
15%
Draws
85%
Slovakia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Slovakia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Slovakia W have won more games recently than Latvia W.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Slovakia W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Slovakia W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Slovakia W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Latvia W Clean Sheet 10%
Slovakia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Latvia W Slovakia W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 4 2
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 1.39 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 World Cup Women
Latvia W vs Slovakia W
1:2
Mar 3, 2026 World Cup Women
Slovakia W vs Latvia W
3:2
Feb 27, 2024 UEFA Nations League Women
Slovakia W vs Latvia W
6:0
Feb 23, 2024 UEFA Nations League Women
Latvia W vs Slovakia W
0:3
Oct 27, 2020 Euro Women
Slovakia W vs Latvia W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Latvia W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Slovakia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lemesova D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gondova D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Latvia W 30 / 100
Slovakia W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Latvia W Slovakia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Slovakia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Latvia W scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Slovakia W let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Slovakia W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Latvia W VS Slovakia W
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Latvia W

(Home)
09 Jun
Latvia W
1 : 2
Slovakia W
05 Jun
Portugal W
5 : 0
Latvia W
18 Apr
Latvia W
0 : 1
Finland W
14 Apr
Latvia W
0 : 3
Portugal W
07 Mar
Finland W
3 : 1
Latvia W
Page 1 of 7

Slovakia W

(Away)
09 Jun
Latvia W
1 : 2
Slovakia W
05 Jun
Slovakia W
0 : 4
Finland W
18 Apr
Slovakia W
1 : 2
Portugal W
14 Apr
Finland W
4 : 2
Slovakia W
07 Mar
Portugal W
4 : 0
Slovakia W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wales W 6 4 2 0 17:5 14
2 Czech Republic W 6 3 2 1 18:8 11
3 Albania W 6 2 1 3 9:14 7
4 Montenegro W 6 0 1 5 6:23 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland W 6 5 1 0 18:5 16
2 Turkey W 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
3 Northern Ireland W 6 2 0 4 10:9 6
4 Malta W 6 0 0 6 4:24 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal W 6 5 0 1 17:4 15
2 Finland W 6 5 0 1 15:6 15
3 Slovakia W 6 2 0 4 8:17 6
4 Latvia W 6 0 0 6 4:17 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland W 6 4 2 0 24:2 14
2 Belgium W 6 4 2 0 22:1 14
3 Israel W 6 2 0 4 10:20 6
4 Luxembourg W 6 0 0 6 1:34 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)